The power of (non-) linear shrinking: A review and guide to covariance matrix estimation

O Ledoit, M Wolf - Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Many econometric and data-science applications require a reliable estimate of the
covariance matrix, such as Markowitz's portfolio selection. When the number of variables is …

[HTML][HTML] The use of predictive analytics in finance

D Broby - The Journal of Finance and Data Science, 2022 - Elsevier
Statistical and computational methods are being increasingly integrated into Decision
Support Systems to aid management and help with strategic decisions. Researchers need to …

Can machine learning-based portfolios outperform traditional risk-based portfolios? The need to account for covariance misspecification

P Jain, S Jain - Risks, 2019 - mdpi.com
The Hierarchical risk parity (HRP) approach of portfolio allocation, introduced by Lopez de
Prado (2016), applies graph theory and machine learning to build a diversified portfolio. Like …

Covariance matrix forecasting using support vector regression

P Fiszeder, W Orzeszko - Applied intelligence, 2021 - Springer
Support vector regression is a promising method for time-series prediction, as it has good
generalisability and an overall stable behaviour. Recent studies have shown that it can …

Forecasting conditional covariance matrices in high-dimensional time series: a general dynamic factor approach

C Trucíos, JHG Mazzeu, M Hallin, LK Hotta… - Journal of Business & …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Abstract Based on a General Dynamic Factor Model with infinite-dimensional factor space
and MGARCH volatility models, we develop new estimation and forecasting procedures for …

Using hierarchical risk parity in the Brazilian market: An out-of-sample analysis

F Reis, A Sobreira, C Trucíos… - Available at SSRN …, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
Portfolio allocation is an important tool for portfolio managers and investors interested in
diversification as well as improvements in out-of-sample portfolio performance. Recently …

Does Portfolio Resampling Really Improve Out-of-Sample Performance? Evidence From the Brazilian Market

AB Oliveira, C Trucíos… - Evidence From the …, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Markowitz optimization plays an important role in modern portfolio theory. However, it is well-
known that Markowitz optimization is highly affected by the estimation error of the mean …

Beyond GMV: Raising the bar for evaluating covariance matrix estimators

MS Dom, C Howard, M Jansen… - Available at SSRN …, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
When validating variance-covariance (VCV) estimators based on the ex-post volatility of the
global minimum variance (GMV) portfolio, we confirm the academic backing for considering …

Portfolio resampling in the Brazilian stock market: Can it outperforms Markowitz optimization?

AB Oliveira, C Trucíos, PLV Pereira - Brazilian Review of Finance, 2024 - periodicos.fgv.br
Markowitz optimization plays a crucial role in modern portfolio theory. However, it is well
known that Markowitz optimization is highly affected by estimation errors in the mean vector …

Unlocking the Potential of Predictive Analytics in Financial Decision-Making

M Mehta, G Gupta, R Goyal, D Bathla… - … and Machine Learning …, 2024 - igi-global.com
Abstract Systems for decision-making assistance are gradually using analytical and
computational methods to aid in management as well as decisions regarding strategy. In …