The geological record shows that abrupt changes in the Earth system can occur on
timescales short enough to challenge the capacity of human societies to adapt to …

Global warming, extreme climate events, earthquakes and their accompanying
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …

Climate change is altering habitats for marine fishes and invertebrates, but the net effect of
these changes on potential food production is unknown. We used temperature-dependent …

Identifying causal networks is important for effective policy and management
recommendations on climate, epidemiology, financial regulation, and much else. We …

Tipping points in complex systems may imply risks of unwanted collapse, but also
opportunities for positive change. Our capacity to navigate such risks and opportunities can …

The value of big old fat fecund female fish (BOFFFFs) in fostering stock productivity and
stability has long been underappreciated by conventional fisheries science and …

Ecological resilience is the ability of a system to persist in the face of perturbations. Although
resilience has been a highly influential concept, its interpretation has remained largely …

Strong decreases in greenhouse gas emissions are required to meet the reduction trajectory
resolved within the 2015 Paris Agreement. However, even these decreases will not avert …

Ocean ecosystems have responded and will continue to respond to climate changes of
different rates, magnitudes, and durations (virtually certain). Human societies depend on …

Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate,
can have tipping points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may …