Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events
Efforts to understand the influence of historical global warming on individual extreme climate
events have increased over the past decade. However, despite substantial progress, events …
events have increased over the past decade. However, despite substantial progress, events …
How unexpected was the 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave?
KA McKinnon, IR Simpson - Geophysical Research Letters, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave featured record‐smashing high
temperatures, raising questions about whether extremes are changing faster than the mean …
temperatures, raising questions about whether extremes are changing faster than the mean …
[HTML][HTML] Very rare heat extremes: quantifying and understanding using ensemble reinitialization
C Gessner, EM Fischer, U Beyerle… - Journal of Climate, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Heat waves such as the one in Europe 2003 have severe consequences for the economy,
society, and ecosystems. It is unclear whether temperatures could have exceeded these …
society, and ecosystems. It is unclear whether temperatures could have exceeded these …
[HTML][HTML] Exponential increases in high-temperature extremes in North America
Global warming in the 21st century will alter the frequency of extreme climatic events, such
as high-temperature anomalies and “heat waves”. Observations of extreme high …
as high-temperature anomalies and “heat waves”. Observations of extreme high …
Neural networks for parameter estimation in intractable models
The goal is to use deep learning models to estimate parameters in statistical models when
standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. For instance …
standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. For instance …
Unprecedented climate events: Historical changes, aspirational targets, and national commitments
The United Nations Paris Agreement creates a specific need to compare consequences of
cumulative emissions for pledged national commitments and aspirational targets of 1.5° to …
cumulative emissions for pledged national commitments and aspirational targets of 1.5° to …
Assessment of climate change impact on temperature extremes in a tropical region with the climate projections from CMIP6 model
The global mean surface temperature is rising and under climate change it is expected to
increase in the future. The changes are not uniform across the world and the impact …
increase in the future. The changes are not uniform across the world and the impact …
Effect of urbanisation on extreme precipitation based on nonstationary models in the Yangtze River Delta metropolitan region
Urban expansion has led to a significant increase in the proportion of areas with impervious
surfaces, thereby affecting the weather system and changing local precipitation. Four …
surfaces, thereby affecting the weather system and changing local precipitation. Four …
Practical strategies for generalized extreme value‐based regression models for extremes
The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is the only possible limiting distribution of
properly normalized maxima of a sequence of independent and identically distributed …
properly normalized maxima of a sequence of independent and identically distributed …
Attribution of the extreme drought-related risk of wildfires in spring 2019 over Southwest China
J Du, K Wang, B Cui - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2021 - JSTOR
From March to May 2019, the total precipitation in southwest China (21–29 N, 98–105 E)
was less than half of the historical average and was the lowest since 1960. Moreover, the air …
was less than half of the historical average and was the lowest since 1960. Moreover, the air …