Statistical physics approach to earthquake occurrence and forecasting

L de Arcangelis, C Godano, JR Grasso, E Lippiello - Physics Reports, 2016 - Elsevier
There is striking evidence that the dynamics of the Earth crust is controlled by a wide variety
of mutually dependent mechanisms acting at different spatial and temporal scales. The …

Spatiotemporal variations in the b-value of earthquake magnitude–frequency distributions: Classification and causes

ZH El-Isa, DW Eaton - Tectonophysics, 2014 - Elsevier
Abstract Interpretation of the b-value of earthquake frequency–magnitude distributions has
received considerable attention in recent decades. This paper provides a comprehensive …

Gradual unlocking of plate boundary controlled initiation of the 2014 Iquique earthquake

B Schurr, G Asch, S Hainzl, J Bedford, A Hoechner… - Nature, 2014 - nature.com
Abstract On 1 April 2014, Northern Chile was struck by a magnitude 8.1 earthquake
following a protracted series of foreshocks. The Integrated Plate Boundary Observatory …

Induced earthquake magnitudes are as large as (statistically) expected

NJ Van der Elst, MT Page, DA Weiser… - Journal of …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
A major question for the hazard posed by injection‐induced seismicity is how large induced
earthquakes can be. Are their maximum magnitudes determined by injection parameters or …

Extending earthquakes' reach through cascading

D Marsan, O Lengline - Science, 2008 - science.org
Earthquakes, whatever their size, can trigger other earthquakes. Mainshocks cause
aftershocks to occur, which in turn activate their own local aftershock sequences, resulting in …

Estimation of space–time branching process models in seismology using an em–type algorithm

A Veen, FP Schoenberg - Journal of the American Statistical …, 2008 - Taylor & Francis
Maximum likelihood estimation of branching point process models via numerical
optimization procedures can be unstable and computationally intensive. We explore an …

Decay of aftershock density with distance indicates triggering by dynamic stress

KR Felzer, EE Brodsky - Nature, 2006 - nature.com
The majority of earthquakes are aftershocks, yet aftershock physics is not well understood.
Many studies suggest that static stress changes, trigger aftershocks, but recent work …

Comparison of short-term and time-independent earthquake forecast models for southern California

A Helmstetter, YY Kagan… - Bulletin of the …, 2006 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We have initially developed a time-independent forecast for southern California by
smoothing the locations of magnitude 2 and larger earthquakes. We show that using small …

Introduction to special section: Stress transfer, earthquake triggering, and time‐dependent seismic hazard

S Steacy, J Gomberg, M Cocco - Journal of Geophysical …, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
In this introduction, we review much of the recent work related to stress transfer, earthquake
triggering, and time‐dependent seismic hazard in order to provide context for the special …

The uses of dynamic earthquake triggering

EE Brodsky, NJ van der Elst - Annual Review of Earth and …, 2014 - annualreviews.org
Dynamic triggering of earthquakes by seismic waves is a robustly observed phenomenon
with well-documented examples from over 30 major earthquakes. We are now in a position …