Methods and models in process safety and risk management: Past, present and future
The paper reviews past progress in the development of methods and models for process
safety and risk management and highlights the present research trends; also it outlines the …
safety and risk management and highlights the present research trends; also it outlines the …
Robust supply chain network design with service level against disruptions and demand uncertainties: A real-life case
We have developed a stochastic mathematical formulation for designing a network of multi-
product supply chains comprising several capacitated production facilities, distribution …
product supply chains comprising several capacitated production facilities, distribution …
Sensitivity analysis using risk measures
A Tsanakas, P Millossovich - Risk Analysis, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
In a quantitative model with uncertain inputs, the uncertainty of the output can be
summarized by a risk measure. We propose a sensitivity analysis method based on …
summarized by a risk measure. We propose a sensitivity analysis method based on …
Probability based survey of braking system: a pareto-optimal approach
A Karamoozian, H Jiang, CA Tan - IEEE Access, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Active brake control systems are able to use more accurate control designs on the real-time
knowledge of wheel slip such as tire braking forces and external momentums. A multi …
knowledge of wheel slip such as tire braking forces and external momentums. A multi …
Parameter uncertainty and residual estimation risk
V Bignozzi, A Tsanakas - Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
The notion of residual estimation risk is introduced to quantify the impact of parameter
uncertainty on capital adequacy, for a given risk measure and capital estimation procedure …
uncertainty on capital adequacy, for a given risk measure and capital estimation procedure …
Risk-reducing design and operations toolkit: 90 strategies for managing risk and uncertainty in decision problems
A Gutfraind - arXiv preprint arXiv:2309.03133, 2023 - arxiv.org
Uncertainty is a pervasive challenge in decision analysis, and decision theory recognizes
two classes of solutions: probabilistic models and cognitive heuristics. However, engineers …
two classes of solutions: probabilistic models and cognitive heuristics. However, engineers …
Gibbs posterior inference on value-at-risk
Accurate estimation of value-at-risk (VaR) and assessment of associated uncertainty is
crucial for both insurers and regulators, particularly in Europe. Existing approaches link data …
crucial for both insurers and regulators, particularly in Europe. Existing approaches link data …
Modelling parameter uncertainty for risk capital calculation
A Fröhlich, A Weng - European Actuarial Journal, 2015 - Springer
For risk capital calculation within the framework of Solvency II the possible loss of basic own
funds over the next business year of an insurance undertaking is usually interpreted as a …
funds over the next business year of an insurance undertaking is usually interpreted as a …
Defining the analytical complexity of decision problems under uncertainty based on their pivotal properties
A Gutfraind - PeerJ Computer Science, 2024 - peerj.com
Background Uncertainty poses a pervasive challenge in decision analysis and risk
management. When the problem is poorly understood, probabilistic estimation exhibits high …
management. When the problem is poorly understood, probabilistic estimation exhibits high …
Model uncertainty in risk capital measurement
V Bignozzi, A Tsanakas - Journal of Risk, 2016 - openaccess.city.ac.uk
The required solvency capital for a financial portfolio is typically given by a tail risk measure
such as Value-at-Risk. Estimating the value of that risk measure from a limited, often small …
such as Value-at-Risk. Estimating the value of that risk measure from a limited, often small …