A practical guide to selecting models for exploration, inference, and prediction in ecology

AT Tredennick, G Hooker, SP Ellner, PB Adler - Ecology, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Selecting among competing statistical models is a core challenge in science. However, the
many possible approaches and techniques for model selection, and the conflicting …

Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts

JM Samplonius, A Atkinson, C Hassall… - Nature Ecology & …, 2021 - nature.com
Climate warming has caused the seasonal timing of many components of ecological food
chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match–mismatch hypothesis …

Phenotypic plasticity in response to climate change: the importance of cue variation

S Bonamour, LM Chevin… - … Transactions of the …, 2019 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Phenotypic plasticity is a major mechanism of response to global change. However, current
plastic responses will only remain adaptive under future conditions if informative …

Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation

LD Bailey, M van de Pol, F Adriaensen, A Arct… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
The phenology of many species shows strong sensitivity to climate change; however, with
few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species' …

Phenological asynchrony: a ticking time‐bomb for seemingly stable populations?

EG Simmonds, EF Cole, BC Sheldon… - Ecology Letters, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Climate change has been shown to induce shifts in the timing of life‐history events. As a
result, interactions between species can become disrupted, with potentially detrimental …

Warming temperatures drive at least half of the magnitude of long-term trait changes in European birds

N McLean, LEB Kruuk… - Proceedings of the …, 2022 - National Acad Sciences
Many wild populations are experiencing temporal changes in life-history and other
phenotypic traits, and these changes are frequently assumed to be driven by climate change …

Autumn bird migration phenology: A potpourri of wind, precipitation and temperature effects

B Haest, O Hüppop, M van de Pol… - Global Change …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Climate change has caused a clear and univocal trend towards advancement in spring
phenology. Changes in autumn phenology are much more diverse, with advancement …

Warming sea surface temperatures fuel summer epidemics of eelgrass wasting disease

ML Groner, ME Eisenlord, RM Yoshioka… - Marine Ecology …, 2021 - int-res.com
Seawater temperatures are increasing, with many unquantified impacts on marine diseases.
While prolonged temperature stress can accelerate host-pathogen interactions, the …

Weather at the winter and stopover areas determines spring migration onset, progress, and advancements in Afro-Palearctic migrant birds

B Haest, O Hüppop, F Bairlein - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
Climate change causes changes in the timing of life cycle events across all trophic groups.
Spring phenology has mostly advanced, but large, unexplained, variations are present …

[HTML][HTML] Decoupled leaf-wood phenology in two pine species from contrasting climates: Longer growing seasons do not mean more radial growth

JJ Camarero, F Campelo, M Colangelo… - Agricultural and Forest …, 2022 - Elsevier
Climate warming is expected to lengthen the growing season of tree species and enhance
radial growth rates. Alternatively, a longer growing season could not lead to improved radial …