Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction
Advances in numerical weather prediction represent a quiet revolution because they have
resulted from a steady accumulation of scientific knowledge and technological advances …
resulted from a steady accumulation of scientific knowledge and technological advances …
Generating ensemble streamflow forecasts: A review of methods and approaches over the past 40 years
Ensemble forecasting applied to the field of hydrology is currently an established area of
research embracing a broad spectrum of operational situations. This work catalogs the …
research embracing a broad spectrum of operational situations. This work catalogs the …
The role of weather radar in rainfall estimation and its application in meteorological and hydrological modelling—A review
Radar-based rainfall information has been widely used in hydrological and meteorological
applications, as it provides data with a high spatial and temporal resolution that improve …
applications, as it provides data with a high spatial and temporal resolution that improve …
Benchmarking observational uncertainties for hydrology: rainfall, river discharge and water quality
This review and commentary sets out the need for authoritative and concise information on
the expected error distributions and magnitudes in observational data. We discuss the …
the expected error distributions and magnitudes in observational data. We discuss the …
A review on statistical postprocessing methods for hydrometeorological ensemble forecasting
Computer simulation models have been widely used to generate hydrometeorological
forecasts. As the raw forecasts contain uncertainties arising from various sources, including …
forecasts. As the raw forecasts contain uncertainties arising from various sources, including …
[HTML][HTML] The science of NOAA's operational hydrologic ensemble forecast service
J Demargne, L Wu, SK Regonda… - Bulletin of the …, 2014 - journals.ametsoc.org
Brown, JD, 2013: Verification of temperature, precipitation and streamflow forecasts from the
NWS Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS): Medium-range forecasts with forcing …
NWS Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS): Medium-range forecasts with forcing …
Uncertainties in COSMO-DE precipitation forecasts introduced by model perturbations and variation of lateral boundaries
C Gebhardt, SE Theis, M Paulat, ZB Bouallègue - Atmospheric Research, 2011 - Elsevier
As a first step towards a convection-permitting ensemble prediction system (EPS), this study
explores the use of perturbation methods within the numerical weather prediction (NWP) …
explores the use of perturbation methods within the numerical weather prediction (NWP) …
Sensitivity analysis of the hyperparameters of an ensemble Kalman filter application on a semi-distributed hydrological model for streamflow forecasting
Data Assimilation (DA) is an important step for improving prediction accuracy and real-time
correction of hydrological models for operational forecasting purposes. The Ensemble …
correction of hydrological models for operational forecasting purposes. The Ensemble …
Visualizing probabilistic flood forecast information: expert preferences and perceptions of best practice in uncertainty communication
The aim of this article is to improve the communication of the probabilistic flood forecasts
generated by hydrological ensemble prediction systems (HEPS) by understanding …
generated by hydrological ensemble prediction systems (HEPS) by understanding …