Recent developments in empirical dynamic modelling

SB Munch, TL Rogers… - Methods in Ecology and …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Ecosystems are complex and sparsely observed making inference and prediction
challenging. Empirical dynamic modelling (EDM) circumvents the need for a parametric …

Global change and emerging infectious diseases

N Nova, TS Athni, ML Childs, L Mandle… - Annual review of …, 2022 - annualreviews.org
Our world is undergoing rapid planetary changes driven by human activities, often mediated
by economic incentives and resource management, affecting all life on Earth. Concurrently …

Dryland sensitivity to climate change and variability using nonlinear dynamics

T Sasaki, SL Collins, JA Rudgers… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
Primary productivity response to climatic drivers varies temporally, indicating state-
dependent interactions between climate and productivity. Previous studies primarily …

Population impact of fine particulate matter on tuberculosis risk in China: a causal inference

JJ Mao, HL Chen, CH Li, JW Lu, YY Gu, J Feng… - BMC Public Health, 2023 - Springer
Background Previous studies have suggested the potential association between air
pollution and tuberculosis incidence, but this association remains inconclusive and …

Environmental drivers of biseasonal anthrax outbreak dynamics in two multihost savanna systems

YH Huang, K Kausrud, A Hassim… - Ecological …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Environmental factors are common forces driving infectious disease dynamics. We
compared interannual and seasonal patterns of anthrax infections in two multihost systems …

Generalism drives abundance: A computational causal discovery approach

C Song, BI Simmons, MJ Fortin… - PLOS Computational …, 2022 - journals.plos.org
A ubiquitous pattern in ecological systems is that more abundant species tend to be more
generalist; that is, they interact with more species or can occur in wider range of habitats …

Indian Ocean temperature anomalies predict long-term global dengue trends

Y Chen, Y Xu, L Wang, Y Liang, N Li, J Lourenço… - Science, 2024 - science.org
Despite identifying El Niño events as a factor in dengue dynamics, predicting the oscillation
of global dengue epidemics remains challenging. Here, we investigate climate indicators …

[HTML][HTML] Climate warming is expanding dengue burden in the Americas and Asia

ML Childs, K Lyberger, M Harris, M Burke, EA Mordecai - medRxiv, 2024 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Climate change poses significant threats to public health, with dengue representing a
growing concern due to its high existing burden and sensitivity to climatic conditions. Yet, the …

Short-term effects of tropical cyclones on the incidence of dengue: a time-series study in Guangzhou, China

C Li, Z Zhao, Y Yan, Q Liu, Q Zhao, W Ma - Parasites & Vectors, 2022 - Springer
Background Limited evidence is available about the association between tropical cyclones
and dengue incidence. This study aimed to examine the effects of tropical cyclones on the …

Impacts of host availability and temperature on mosquito‐borne parasite transmission

KJM Dahlin, SM O'Regan, BA Han… - Ecological …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Global climate change is predicted to cause range shifts in the mosquito species that
transmit pathogens to humans and wildlife. Recent modeling studies have sought to improve …