Multivariate threshold integer-valued autoregressive processes with explanatory variables

K Yang, N Xu, H Li, Y Zhao, X Dong - Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2023 - Elsevier
To capture the multivariate count time series showing piecewise phenomena, we introduce
a class of first-order multivariate threshold integer-valued autoregressive process. The …

Structural hawkes processes for learning causal structure from discrete-time event sequences

J Qiao, R Cai, S Wu, Y Xiang, K Zhang… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Learning causal structure among event types from discrete-time event sequences is a
particularly important but challenging task. Existing methods, such as the multivariate …

Modelling and diagnostic tests for Poisson and negative-binomial count time series

B Aleksandrov, CH Weiß, S Nik, M Faymonville… - Metrika, 2024 - Springer
When modelling unbounded counts, their marginals are often assumed to follow either
Poisson (Poi) or negative binomial (NB) distributions. To test such null hypotheses, we …

A novel geometric AR (1) model and its estimation

D Kuttenchalil Andrews… - Journal of Statistical …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
This paper proposes a first-order geometric autoregressive model based on a new thinning
operator. The parameters of the model are estimated by the method of Two-Stage …

An ARL-unbiased modified chart for monitoring autoregressive counts with geometric marginal distributions

M Cabral Morais, P Wittenberg, S Knoth - Sequential Analysis, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Geometrically distributed counts arise in the industry. Ideally, they should be monitored
using a control chart whose average run length (ARL) function achieves a maximum when …

Coherent forecasting of NoGeAR (1) model

DK Andrews, N Balakrishna - arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.00304, 2024 - arxiv.org
This article focuses on the coherent forecasting of the recently introduced novel geometric
AR (1)(NoGeAR (1)) model-an INAR model based on inflated-parameter binomial thinning …

A flexible INAR (1) time series model with dependent zero-inflated count series and medical contagious cases

M Shirozhan, HS Bakouch… - … and Computers in …, 2023 - Elsevier
In order to understand the behavior of disease transmission and develop better policies to
overcome the problem, time series modeling and forecasting of infectious diseases are …

The Negative Binomial INAR (1) Process under Different Thinning Processes: Can We Separate between the Different Models?

D Karlis, NM Khan, Y Sunecher - Stats, 2024 - search.proquest.com
The literature on discrete valued time series is expanding very fast. Very often we see new
models with very similar properties to the existing ones. A natural question that arises is …

Two Features of the GINAR (1) Process and Their Impact on the Run-Length Performance of Geometric Control Charts

MC Morais - Entropy, 2023 - mdpi.com
The geometric first-order integer-valued autoregressive process (GINAR (1)) can be
particularly useful to model relevant discrete-valued time series, namely in statistical process …

The balanced discrete triplet Lindley model and its INAR (1) extension: properties and COVID-19 applications

M Shirozhan, NA Mamode Khan… - … International Journal of …, 2023 - degruyter.com
This paper proposes a new flexible discrete triplet Lindley model that is constructed from the
balanced discretization principle of the extended Lindley distribution. This model has …