Environmental controls on MCS lifetime rainfall over tropical oceans

X Chen, LR Leung, Z Feng… - Geophysical Research …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) contribute a majority of rainfall over tropical oceans.
However, our understanding of the environmental controls on tropical oceanic MCS …

An analytic formula for entraining CAPE in midlatitude storm environments

JM Peters, DR Chavas, CY Su… - Journal of the …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
This article introduces an analytic formula for entraining convective available potential
energy (ECAPE) with an entrainment rate that is determined directly from an environmental …

Disentangling the influences of storm-relative flow and horizontal streamwise vorticity on low-level mesocyclones in supercells

JM Peters, BE Coffer, MD Parker… - Journal of the …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Sufficient low-level storm-relative flow is a necessary ingredient for sustained supercell
thunderstorms and is connected to supercell updraft width. Assuming a supercell exists, the …

Supercell low-level mesocyclones: Origins of inflow and vorticity

BE Coffer, MD Parker, JM Peters… - Monthly Weather …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
The development and intensification of low-level mesocyclones in supercell thunderstorms
have often been attributed, at least in part, to augmented streamwise vorticity generated …

[HTML][HTML] The influence of shear on deep convection initiation. Part II: Simulations

JM Peters, H Morrison, TC Nelson… - Journal of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
This study evaluates a hypothesis for the role of vertical wind shear in deep convection
initiation (DCI) that was introduced in Part I by examining behavior of a series of numerical …

Environmental controls on simulated deep moist convection initiation occurring during RELAMPAGO-CACTI

TC Nelson, J Marquis, JM Peters… - Journal of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
This study synthesizes the results of 13 high-resolution simulations of deep convective
updrafts forming over idealized terrain using environments observed during the …

The role of passive cloud volumes in the transition from shallow to deep atmospheric convection

CV Vraciu, IL Kruse, JO Haerter - Geophysical Research Letters, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Properly capturing the transition from shallow to deep convection remains a major
shortcoming of numerical weather and climate models due to poor understanding of the …

Seasonal-varying characteristics of tropical Pacific westerly wind bursts during El Niño due to annual cycle modulation

Z Xuan, W Zhang, F Jiang, MF Stuecker, FF Jin - Climate Dynamics, 2024 - Springer
Westerly wind bursts (WWBs), aperiodic burst-like atmospheric disturbances in the tropics,
play an important role during the development stage of El Niño–Southern Oscillation …

An analysis of the impact of vertical wind shear on convection initiation using large-eddy simulations: Importance of wake entrainment

LJ LeBel, PM Markowski - Monthly Weather Review, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
The initiation of thunderstorms in environments characterized by strong wind shear presents
a forecast challenge because of the complexities of the interactions between growing …

Analyzing tornado warning performance during individual storm life cycles

JU Chamberlain, MD Flournoy… - Weather and …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The National Weather Service plays a critical role in alerting the public when
dangerous weather occurs. Tornado warnings are one of the most publicly visible products …