Design choices, machine learning, and the cross-section of stock returns

M Chen, MX Hanauer, T Kalsbach - Available at SSRN, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We fit over one thousand machine learning models for predicting stock returns,
systematically varying design choices across algorithm, target variable, feature selection …

Writing Quality and Soft Information in the GenAI Age: Evidence from Online Credit Markets

LW Cong, Y Guo, X Zhao, W Zhou - Available at SSRN 4959535, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
Writing matters in finance for both informational and non-informational reasons. Applying
ChatGPT, a generative AI (GenAI) tool, to data from a dominant online credit platform, we …

Disagreement of Disagreement

CL Goulding, CR Harvey, H Kurtović - Available at SSRN 4647471, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We find remarkably low correlation among major investor disagreement proxies, making it
challenging to infer how disagreement impacts prices. We develop a unified model that …

Measuring Bank Complexity Using Xai

S Huang, M Simaan, Y Tang - Available at SSRN, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
Following the 2007-2009 global financial crisis, the complexity and opacity of banks have
been under scrutiny due to their effects on financial stability. Measuring these attributes is …

Different Opinions or Information Asymmetry: Machine-based Measurement and Consequences

Y Liu, K Guo, T Wang - Available at SSRN, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We leverage machine learning to introduce belief dispersion measures to distinguish two
key sources of disagreement, ie, interpretation heterogeneity (IH) and information …

Analysts' Conditional Biases and the Cross Section of Corporate Bond Returns

S Yang, W Liu - Available at SSRN 4797765, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We construct analysts' real-time conditional biases by utilizing a machine learning model
and find that analysts' biases are associated with negative cross-sectional bond return …

Analysts' Belief Formation in Their Own Words

S Ke - Available at SSRN 5025830, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
I study the formation of analysts' subjective belief about stock earnings using analysts' own
written text from over 1.2 million equity research reports. Text in analyst reports strongly …

News-based Investor Disagreement and Stock Returns

SZ Li, Z Luan - Available at SSRN 4538670, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We estimate investors' disagreement regarding corporate news announcements and assess
its ability to predict stock returns. Specifically, we quantify firm-level investor disagreement …