[HTML][HTML] Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics
Mathematical modelling and statistical inference provide a framework to evaluate different
non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions for the control of epidemics that has …
non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions for the control of epidemics that has …
Empirical evidence on the efficiency of backward contact tracing in COVID-19
Standard contact tracing practice for COVID-19 is to identify persons exposed to an infected
person during the contagious period, assumed to start two days before symptom onset or …
person during the contagious period, assumed to start two days before symptom onset or …
The importance of the generation interval in investigating dynamics and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants
Inferring the relative strength (ie the ratio of reproduction numbers) and relative speed (ie the
difference between growth rates) of new SARS-CoV-2 variants is critical to predicting and …
difference between growth rates) of new SARS-CoV-2 variants is critical to predicting and …
Hyperbolic compartmental models for epidemic spread on networks with uncertain data: application to the emergence of Covid-19 in Italy
G Bertaglia, L Pareschi - … Models and Methods in Applied Sciences, 2021 - World Scientific
The importance of spatial networks in the spread of an epidemic is an essential aspect in
modeling the dynamics of an infectious disease. Additionally, any realistic data-driven model …
modeling the dynamics of an infectious disease. Additionally, any realistic data-driven model …
Individual level analysis of digital proximity tracing for COVID-19 in Belgium highlights major bottlenecks
C Geenen, J Raymenants, S Gorissen… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
To complement labour-intensive conventional contact tracing, digital proximity tracing was
implemented widely during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the privacy-centred design …
implemented widely during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the privacy-centred design …
[HTML][HTML] Modelling: understanding pandemics and how to control them
New disease challenges, societal demands and better or novel types of data, drive
innovations in the structure, formulation and analysis of epidemic models. Innovations in …
innovations in the structure, formulation and analysis of epidemic models. Innovations in …
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 variant fitness and the impact of interventions in England using statistical and geo-spatial agent-based models
R Hinch, J Panovska-Griffiths… - … of the Royal …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic has been extended by the evolution of more transmissible viral
variants. In autumn 2020, the B. 1.177 lineage became the dominant variant in England …
variants. In autumn 2020, the B. 1.177 lineage became the dominant variant in England …
A mathematical model to assess the effectiveness of test-trace-isolate-and-quarantine under limited capacities
J Heidecke, J Fuhrmann, MV Barbarossa - Plos one, 2024 - journals.plos.org
Diagnostic testing followed by isolation of identified cases with subsequent tracing and
quarantine of close contacts—often referred to as test-trace-isolate-and-quarantine (TTIQ) …
quarantine of close contacts—often referred to as test-trace-isolate-and-quarantine (TTIQ) …
Equations with infinite delay: pseudospectral discretization for numerical stability and bifurcation in an abstract framework
F Scarabel, R Vermiglio - SIAM Journal on Numerical Analysis, 2024 - SIAM
We consider nonlinear delay differential and renewal equations with infinite delay. We
extend the work of Gyllenberg et al.[Appl. Math. Comput., 333 (2018), pp. 490–505] by …
extend the work of Gyllenberg et al.[Appl. Math. Comput., 333 (2018), pp. 490–505] by …
Modelling preventive measures and their effect on generation times in emerging epidemics
M Favero, G Scalia Tomba… - Journal of The Royal …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
We present a stochastic epidemic model to study the effect of various preventive measures,
such as uniform reduction of contacts and transmission, vaccination, isolation, screening …
such as uniform reduction of contacts and transmission, vaccination, isolation, screening …