There is increasing interest in long-term plans that can adapt to changing situations under
conditions of deep uncertainty. We argue that a sustainable plan should not only achieve …

Global change encompasses changes in the characteristics of inter-related climate variables
in space and time, and derived changes in terrestrial processes, including human activities …

A highly uncertain future due to changes in climate, technology and socio-economics has
led to the realisation that identification of “best-guess” future conditions might no longer be …

A new paradigm for planning under conditions of deep uncertainty has emerged in the
literature. According to this paradigm, a planner should create a strategic vision of the future …

Abstract The new Scientific Decade 2013–2022 of IAHS, entitled “Panta Rhei—Everything
Flows”, is dedicated to research activities on change in hydrology and society. The purpose …

Water systems planners have long recognized the need for robust solutions capable of
withstanding deviations from the conditions for which they were designed. Robustness …

Robust decision making (RDM) Page 35 Chapter 2 Robust Decision Making (RDM) RJ Lempert
Abstract • The quest for predictions—and a reliance on the analytical methods that require …

We separate and quantify the sources of uncertainty in projections of regional (∼ 2,500 km)
precipitation changes for the twenty-first century using the CMIP3 multi-model ensemble …

Coupled ocean/atmosphere general circulation models (OA/GCMs) have been instrumental
in showing the need for global action to curb anthropogenic emissions that cause climate …

Modeling is a crucial approach for understanding the past and exploring the future of
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …