Early warning signals for critical transitions in complex systems

SV George, S Kachhara, G Ambika - Physica Scripta, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
In this topical review, we present a brief overview of the different methods and measures to
detect the occurrence of critical transitions in complex systems. We start by introducing the …

Anticipating critical transitions in psychological systems using early warning signals: Theoretical and practical considerations.

F Dablander, A Pichler, A Cika, A Bacilieri - Psychological Methods, 2023 - psycnet.apa.org
Many real-world systems can exhibit tipping points and multiple stable states, creating the
potential for sudden and difficult to reverse transitions into a less desirable regime. The …

No evidence for critical slowing down prior to human epileptic seizures

T Wilkat, T Rings, K Lehnertz - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of …, 2019 - pubs.aip.org
There is an ongoing debate whether generic early warning signals for critical transitions
exist that can be applied across diverse systems. The human epileptic brain is often …

Early warning signal reliability varies with COVID-19 waves

DA O'brien, CF Clements - Biology Letters, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Early warning signals (EWSs) aim to predict changes in complex systems from
phenomenological signals in time series data. These signals have recently been shown to …

[HTML][HTML] Anticipating manic and depressive transitions in patients with bipolar disorder using early warning signals

FM Bos, MJ Schreuder, SV George, B Doornbos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Springer
Background In bipolar disorder treatment, accurate episode prediction is paramount but
remains difficult. A novel idiographic approach to prediction is to monitor generic early …

An investigation of the potential clinical utility of critical slowing down as an early warning sign for recurrence of depression

NA Tonge, JP Miller, ED Kharasch, EJ Lenze… - Journal of Behavior …, 2024 - Elsevier
Background and objectives Much of the burden of depressive illness is due to relapses that
occur after treatment into remission. Prediction of an individual's imminent depressive …

[HTML][HTML] Dynamics of sleep: Exploring critical transitions and early warning signals

SMM de Mooij, TF Blanken, RPPP Grasman… - Computer methods and …, 2020 - Elsevier
Background and objectives In standard practice, sleep is classified into distinct stages by
human observers according to specific rules as for instance specified in the AASM manual …

[HTML][HTML] Early warning signals for bifurcations embedded in high dimensions

D Dylewsky, M Anand, CT Bauch - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
Recent work has highlighted the utility of methods for early warning signal detection in
dynamic systems approaching critical tipping thresholds. Often these tipping points …

Early warning indicators capture catastrophic transitions driven by explicit rates of environmental change

R Arumugam, F Guichard, F Lutscher - Ecology, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
In response to external changes, ecosystems can undergo catastrophic transitions. Early
warning indicators aim to predict such transitions based on the phenomenon of critical …

[HTML][HTML] Comparing equation-based and agent-based data generation methods for early warning signal analysis

D Reisinger, M Füllsack - Systems, 2020 - mdpi.com
Dynamical systems are known to exhibit sudden state transitions, with abrupt shifts from one
stable state to another. Such transitions are widely observed, with examples ranging from …