On the uncertainty of real-time predictions of epidemic growths: A COVID-19 case study for China and Italy

T Alberti, D Faranda - … in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 2020 - Elsevier
While COVID-19 is rapidly propagating around the globe, the need for providing real-time
forecasts of the epidemics pushes fits of dynamical and statistical models to available data …

Global stability analysis for a generalized delayed SIR model with vaccination and treatment

A Elazzouzi, A Lamrani Alaoui, M Tilioua… - Advances in Difference …, 2019 - Springer
In this work, we investigate the stability of an SIR epidemic model with a generalized
nonlinear incidence rate and distributed delay. The model also includes vaccination term …

Dynamical behaviour of a delayed three species predator–prey model with cooperation among the prey species

S Kundu, S Maitra - Nonlinear Dynamics, 2018 - Springer
In this paper we have discussed about the dynamics of three species (two preys and one
predator) delayed predator–prey model with cooperation among the preys against …

Dynamical analysis of rumor spreading model with impulse vaccination and time delay

C Ma - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2017 - Elsevier
Rumor cause unnecessary conflicts and confusion by misleading the cognition of the public,
its spreading has largely influence on human affairs. All kinds of rumors and people's …

[HTML][HTML] Global dynamics of a SEI epidemic model with immigration and generalized nonlinear incidence functional

ZA Khan, AL Alaoui, A Zeb, M Tilioua, S Djilali - Results in Physics, 2021 - Elsevier
In this paper, the global dynamics of an SEI epidemic model with constant immigration and
general nonlinear incidence function is investigated. It is shown that there is neither a …

Analysis of a SIRI epidemic model with distributed delay and relapse

A Elazzouzi, AL Alaoui, M Tilioua… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2018 - arxiv.org
We investigate the global behaviour of a SIRI epidemic model with distributed delay and
relapse. From the theory of functional differential equations with delay, we prove that the …

SIRS Model of Passengers' Panic Propagation under Self‐Organization Circumstance in the Subway Emergency

H Zhao, J Jiang, R Xu, Y Ye - Mathematical Problems in …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Subway emergency may lead to passengers' panic, especially under self‐organizing
circumstance, which will spread rapidly and have an adverse impact on the society. This …

Analysis of a delayed Internet worm propagation model with impulsive quarantine strategy

Y Yao, X Feng, W Yang, W Xiang… - … Problems in Engineering, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Internet worms exploiting zero‐day vulnerabilities have drawn significant attention owing to
their enormous threats to Internet in the real world. To begin with, a worm propagation model …

Transmission Dynamics of a Two‐City SIR Epidemic Model with Transport‐Related Infections

Y Chen, M Yan, Z Xiang - Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
A two‐city SIR epidemic model with transport‐related infections is proposed. Some good
analytical results are given for this model. If the basic reproduction number ℜ0γ≤ 1, there …

Stochastic multi-group epidemic SVIR models: Degenerate case

TD Tuong, DH Nguyen, NN Nguyen - Communications in Nonlinear …, 2024 - Elsevier
This work considers a multi-group epidemic SIR models with vaccination. The fluctuation of
the environment is taken into account by introducing both color noise and white noise to a …