Machine learning models for forecasting power electricity consumption using a high dimensional dataset

PC Albuquerque, DO Cajueiro, MDC Rossi - Expert Systems with …, 2022 - Elsevier
We use regularized machine learning models to forecast Brazilian power electricity
consumption for short and medium terms. We compare our models to benchmark …

Real-time inflation forecasting with high-dimensional models: The case of Brazil

MGP Garcia, MC Medeiros… - International Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
We show that high-dimensional econometric models, such as shrinkage and complete
subset regression, perform very well in the real-time forecasting of inflation in data-rich …

Machine learning and oil price point and density forecasting

ABR Costa, PCG Ferreira, WP Gaglianone… - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
The purpose of this paper is to explore machine learning techniques to forecast the oil price.
In the era of big data, we investigate whether new automated tools can improve over …

[HTML][HTML] Machine learning methods for inflation forecasting in Brazil: New contenders versus classical models

GS Araujo, WP Gaglianone - Latin American Journal of Central Banking, 2023 - Elsevier
In this paper, we explore machine learning (ML) methods to improve inflation forecasting in
Brazil. An extensive out-of-sample forecasting exercise is designed with multiple horizons, a …

Inflation forecasting in an emerging economy: selecting variables with machine learning algorithms

Ö Özgür, U Akkoç - International Journal of Emerging Markets, 2022 - emerald.com
Purpose The main purpose of this study is to forecast inflation rates in the case of the Turkish
economy with shrinkage methods of machine learning algorithms. Design/methodology …

Previsão de variáveis macroeconômicas brasileiras usando modelos de séries temporais de alta dimensão

RB Barbosa, RT Ferreira, TM Silva - Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo …, 2020 - SciELO Brasil
Este artigo analisa o desempenho de modelos fatoriais de alta dimensão para prever quatro
variáveis macroeconômicas brasileiras: duas variáveis reais, taxa de desemprego eo índice …

Forecasting inflation time series using score‐driven dynamic models and combination methods: The case of Brazil

CHDC de Castro, FAL Aiube - Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This paper evaluates the inflation forecasting models of a small open economy. We compare
forecasts of Brazilian inflation (consumer price index—IPCA) based on the generalized …

Forecasting inflation in Turkey: A comparison of time-series and machine learning models

H Akbulut - Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 2022 - avesis.hacettepe.edu.tr
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Page 1 Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 14(1)
2022, 55-71 Econ.J.Emerg.Mark. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Available at https://journal.uii.ac.id/jep …

Machine Learning Methods and Time Series: A Through Forecasting Study via Simulation and USA Inflation Analysis

K Boesch, FA Ziegelmann - Computational Economics, 2024 - Springer
Modern problems in Economics have tremendously benefited from the ever increasing
amount of available information. Hence, most of the recent econometric approaches have …

Harnessing Machine Learning for Real-Time Inflation Nowcasting

R Schnorrenberger, A Schmidt - 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
We investigate the predictive ability of machine learning methods to produce weekly inflation
nowcasts using high-frequency macro-financial indicators and a survey of professional …