Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

GA Meehl, JH Richter, H Teng, A Capotondi… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

[HTML][HTML] Climate model projections from the scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6

C Tebaldi, K Debeire, V Eyring, E Fischer… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
Abstract The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) defines and
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …

The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections

J Cos, F Doblas-Reyes, M Jury, R Marcos… - Earth System …, 2022 - esd.copernicus.org
The enhanced warming trend and precipitation decline in the Mediterranean region make it
a climate change hotspot. We compare projections of multiple Coupled Model …

Opinion: The scientific and community-building roles of the Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP)-past, present, and future

D Visioni, B Kravitz, A Robock, S Tilmes… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) is a coordinating framework,
started in 2010, that includes a series of standardized climate model experiments aimed at …

Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

L Brunner, AG Pendergrass, F Lehner… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
The sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) constitutes the latest update on
expected future climate change based on a new generation of climate models. To extract …

Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble

N Maher, S Milinski, R Ludwig - Earth System Dynamics, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
Single model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) are valuable tools that can be used
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …

[HTML][HTML] Isolating the evolving contributions of anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases: A new CESM1 large ensemble community resource

C Deser, AS Phillips, IR Simpson… - Journal of …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Isolating the Evolving Contributions of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases: A New
CESM1 Large Ensemble Community Resource in: Journal of Climate Volume 33 Issue 18 …

[HTML][HTML] Evaluation of extreme precipitation climate indices and their projected changes for Brazil: From CMIP3 to CMIP6

FJ de Medeiros, CP de Oliveira, A Avila-Diaz - Weather and Climate …, 2022 - Elsevier
Extreme events usually cause numerous economic and social losses, especially in
vulnerable countries, such as Brazil. Understanding whether the evolution of Earth System …

Arctic warming revealed by multiple CMIP6 models: evaluation of historical simulations and quantification of future projection uncertainties

Z Cai, Q You, F Wu, HW Chen, D Chen… - Journal of …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
The Arctic has experienced a warming rate higher than the global mean in the past decades,
but previous studies show that there are large uncertainties associated with future Arctic …

[HTML][HTML] Climate response to off-equatorial stratospheric sulfur injections in three Earth system models–Part 1: Experimental protocols and surface changes

D Visioni, EM Bednarz, WR Lee… - Atmospheric …, 2023 - acp.copernicus.org
There is now substantial literature on climate model studies of equatorial or tropical
stratospheric SO 2 injections that aim to counteract the surface warming produced by rising …