What is the intrinsic predictability of tornadic supercell thunderstorms?

PM Markowski - Monthly Weather Review, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
A 25-member ensemble of relatively high-resolution (75-m horizontal grid spacing)
numerical simulations of tornadic supercell storms is used to obtain insight on their intrinsic …

[HTML][HTML] Modes of storm-scale variability and tornado potential in VORTEX2 near-and far-field tornadic environments

MD Flournoy, MC Coniglio… - Monthly Weather …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Modes of Storm-Scale Variability and Tornado Potential in VORTEX2 Near- and Far-Field
Tornadic Environments in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 148 Issue 10 (2020) Jump to …

Environmental evolution of long-lived supercell thunderstorms in the Great Plains

CE Davenport - Weather and Forecasting, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Long-lived supercells (containing mesocyclones persisting for at least 4 h) are relatively
rare, but present significant risk for society as a result of their intensity and associated …

[HTML][HTML] An idealized numerical simulation investigation of the effects of surface drag on the development of near-surface vertical vorticity in supercell thunderstorms

PM Markowski - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
Adlerman, EJ, and KK Droegemeier, 2002: The sensitivity of numerically simulated cyclic
mesocyclogenesis to variations in model physical and computational parameters. Mon …

A climatology of cell mergers with supercells and their association with mesocyclone evolution

MD Flournoy, AW Lyza, MA Satrio… - Monthly Weather …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
In this study, we present a climatology of observed cell mergers along the paths of 342
discrete, right-moving supercells and their association with temporal changes in low-level …

[HTML][HTML] Observations of near-surface vertical wind profiles and vertical momentum fluxes from VORTEX-SE 2017: Comparisons to Monin–Obukhov similarity theory

PM Markowski, NT Lis, DD Turner… - Monthly Weather …, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Observations of near-surface vertical wind profiles and vertical momentum fluxes obtained
from a Doppler lidar and instrumented towers deployed during VORTEX-SE in the spring of …

[HTML][HTML] SPC mesoscale analysis compared to field-project soundings: Implications for supercell environment studies

MC Coniglio, RE Jewell - Monthly Weather Review, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
A total of 257 supercell proximity soundings obtained for field programs over the central
United States are compared with profiles extracted from the SPC mesoscale analysis system …

[HTML][HTML] Comparison of near-and far-field supercell inflow environments using radiosonde observations

AR Wade, MC Coniglio, CL Ziegler - Monthly Weather Review, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
A great deal of research focuses on how the mesoscale environment influences convective
storms, but relatively little is known about how supercells modify the nearby environment …

A new pathway for tornadogenesis exposed by numerical simulations of supercells in turbulent environments

PM Markowski - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
A simulation of a supercell storm produced for a prior study on tornado predictability is
reanalyzed for the purpose of examining the fine-scale details of tornadogenesis. It is found …

Doppler lidar and mobile radiosonde observation-based evaluation of Warn-on-Forecast System predicted near-supercell environments during TORUS 2019

JJ Laser, MC Coniglio, PS Skinner… - Weather and …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Observational data collection is extremely hazardous in supercell storm environments,
which makes for a scarcity of data used for evaluating the storm-scale guidance from …