Recent years have witnessed a sharp increase in many commodity prices. This report
examines the question of whether commodity price volatility has materially changed with the …

We use a rational expectations framework to assess the implications of rising debt in an
environment with a “fiscal limit”. The fiscal limit is defined as the point where the government …

Using the news-based measure of Baker et al.[Baker SR, Bloom N, Davis SJ (2013)
Measuring economic policy uncertainty. Working paper, Stanford University, Stanford, CA] to …

This paper studies how economic policy uncertainty influences corporate investment for
Chinese listed companies. We show that when the degree of economic policy uncertainty is …

Dynamic co-movements of stock market returns, implied volatility and policy uncertainty -
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We investigate the causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and
energy consumption and carbon (CO 2) emissions in G7 countries. We employ a bootstrap …

This paper investigates the relationship between political instability and per capita GDP
growth in a sample of 113 countries for the period 1950 through 1982. We define political …

In a dynamic model with sunk export costs, a firm's export investment is lower under trade
policy uncertainty, and credible preferential trade agreements (PTAs) increase trade even if …

In this paper, we empirically assess how economic sanctions imposed by the United Nations
and the United States affect the target states' GDP growth. Our sample includes 160 …

This paper presents empirical evidence against the standard dichotomy in macroeconomics
that separates growth from the volatility of economic fluctuations. In a sample of 92 countries …