Uncertainty before and during COVID‐19: A survey

E Castelnuovo - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This survey features three parts. The first one reviews the most recent literature on the
relationship between domestic (ie, country‐specific) uncertainty and the business cycle, and …

Innocent Bystanders? Monetary policy and inequality

O Coibion, Y Gorodnichenko, L Kueng… - Journal of Monetary …, 2017 - Elsevier
We study the effects of monetary policy shocks on—and their historical contribution to—
consumption and income inequality in the United States since 1980 as measured by the …

Monetary policy, real activity, and credit spreads: Evidence from Bayesian proxy SVARs

D Caldara, E Herbst - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2019 - aeaweb.org
In this paper, we develop a Bayesian framework to estimate a proxy structural vector
autoregression to identify monetary policy shocks. We find that during the Great Moderation …

Stock returns over the FOMC cycle

A Cieslak, A Morse… - The Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
We document that since 1994, the equity premium is earned entirely in weeks 0, 2, 4, and 6
in Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) cycle time, that is, even weeks starting from the …

Are sticky prices costly? Evidence from the stock market

Y Gorodnichenko, M Weber - American Economic Review, 2016 - aeaweb.org
We show that after monetary policy announcements, the conditional volatility of stock market
returns rises more for firms with stickier prices than for firms with more flexible prices. This …

The economics of the Fed put

A Cieslak, A Vissing-Jorgensen - The Review of Financial …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Since the mid-1990s, negative stock returns comove with downgrades to the Fed's growth
expectations and predict policy accommodations. Textual analysis of FOMC documents …

The making of hawks and doves

U Malmendier, S Nagel, Z Yan - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Personal experiences of inflation strongly influence the hawkish or dovish leanings of
central bankers. For all members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) since …

Signalling effects of monetary policy

L Melosi - The Review of Economic Studies, 2017 - academic.oup.com
We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model in which the policy rate signals the central
bank's view about macroeconomic developments to price setters. The model is estimated …

The analytics of SVARs: a unified framework to measure fiscal multipliers

D Caldara, C Kamps - The Review of Economic Studies, 2017 - academic.oup.com
Do tax cuts and spending increases stimulate output? Studies that identify fiscal shocks
using structural vector autoregressions (SVAR) have reached different conclusions. In this …

The propagation of monetary policy shocks in a heterogeneous production economy

E Pasten, R Schoenle, M Weber - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
Realistic heterogeneity in price rigidity interacts with heterogeneity in sectoral size and input-
output linkages in the transmission of monetary policy shocks. Quantitatively, heterogeneity …