Risk management and decision making in relation to sustainable development
Executive summary Increases in global mean surface temperature are projected to result in
continued permafrost degradation and coastal degradation (high confidence), increased …
continued permafrost degradation and coastal degradation (high confidence), increased …
Tipping elements and climate–economic shocks: Pathways toward integrated assessment
The literature on the costs of climate change often draws a link between climatic “tipping
points” and large economic shocks, frequently called “catastrophes.” The phrase “tipping …
points” and large economic shocks, frequently called “catastrophes.” The phrase “tipping …
Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty
Modeling is a crucial approach for understanding the past and exploring the future of
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …
Coping with the wickedness of public policy problems: approaches for decision making under deep uncertainty
JH Kwakkel, WE Walker, M Haasnoot - Journal of Water Resources …, 2016 - ascelibrary.org
In many planning problems, planners face major challenges in coping with uncertain and
changing physical conditions, and rapid unpredictable socioeconomic development. How …
changing physical conditions, and rapid unpredictable socioeconomic development. How …
[HTML][HTML] The Exploratory Modeling Workbench: An open source toolkit for exploratory modeling, scenario discovery, and (multi-objective) robust decision making
JH Kwakkel - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2017 - Elsevier
There is a growing interest in model-based decision support under deep uncertainty,
reflected in a variety of approaches being put forward in the literature. A key idea shared …
reflected in a variety of approaches being put forward in the literature. A key idea shared …
[HTML][HTML] An open source framework for many-objective robust decision making
This study introduces a new open source software framework to support bottom-up
environmental systems planning under deep uncertainty with a focus on many-objective …
environmental systems planning under deep uncertainty with a focus on many-objective …
Structuring and evaluating decision support processes to enhance the robustness of complex human–natural systems
Decision-making in the context of complex human–natural systems requires a transition
towards robust model-based inferences which are effective despite uncertainties of human …
towards robust model-based inferences which are effective despite uncertainties of human …
Climate risk management
K Keller, C Helgeson… - Annual Review of Earth …, 2021 - annualreviews.org
Accelerating global climate change drives new climate risks. People around the world are
researching, designing, and implementing strategies to manage these risks. Identifying and …
researching, designing, and implementing strategies to manage these risks. Identifying and …
[HTML][HTML] A review of systems modelling for local sustainability
Abstract The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) represent a holistic and ambitious
agenda for transforming the world towards societal well-being, economic prosperity, and …
agenda for transforming the world towards societal well-being, economic prosperity, and …
[HTML][HTML] Exploring potential futures: Evaluating the influence of deep uncertainties in urban planning through scenario planning: A case study in Rome, Italy
Cities play a critical role in developing adaptable strategies to address the challenges posed
by climate change. However, the inherent complexity of urban environments and their …
by climate change. However, the inherent complexity of urban environments and their …