Risk management and decision making in relation to sustainable development

M Hurlbert, J Krishnaswamy, FX Johnson… - 2019 - diva-portal.org
Executive summary Increases in global mean surface temperature are projected to result in
continued permafrost degradation and coastal degradation (high confidence), increased …

Tipping elements and climate–economic shocks: Pathways toward integrated assessment

RE Kopp, RL Shwom, G Wagner, J Yuan - Earth's Future, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
The literature on the costs of climate change often draws a link between climatic “tipping
points” and large economic shocks, frequently called “catastrophes.” The phrase “tipping …

Exploratory modeling for analyzing coupled human-natural systems under uncertainty

EA Moallemi, J Kwakkel, FJ de Haan… - Global Environmental …, 2020 - Elsevier
Modeling is a crucial approach for understanding the past and exploring the future of
coupled human-natural systems. However, uncertainty in various forms challenges …

Coping with the wickedness of public policy problems: approaches for decision making under deep uncertainty

JH Kwakkel, WE Walker, M Haasnoot - Journal of Water Resources …, 2016 - ascelibrary.org
In many planning problems, planners face major challenges in coping with uncertain and
changing physical conditions, and rapid unpredictable socioeconomic development. How …

[HTML][HTML] The Exploratory Modeling Workbench: An open source toolkit for exploratory modeling, scenario discovery, and (multi-objective) robust decision making

JH Kwakkel - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2017 - Elsevier
There is a growing interest in model-based decision support under deep uncertainty,
reflected in a variety of approaches being put forward in the literature. A key idea shared …

[HTML][HTML] An open source framework for many-objective robust decision making

D Hadka, J Herman, P Reed, K Keller - Environmental Modelling & …, 2015 - Elsevier
This study introduces a new open source software framework to support bottom-up
environmental systems planning under deep uncertainty with a focus on many-objective …

Structuring and evaluating decision support processes to enhance the robustness of complex human–natural systems

EA Moallemi, F Zare, PM Reed, S Elsawah… - … Modelling & Software, 2020 - Elsevier
Decision-making in the context of complex human–natural systems requires a transition
towards robust model-based inferences which are effective despite uncertainties of human …

Climate risk management

K Keller, C Helgeson… - Annual Review of Earth …, 2021 - annualreviews.org
Accelerating global climate change drives new climate risks. People around the world are
researching, designing, and implementing strategies to manage these risks. Identifying and …

[HTML][HTML] A review of systems modelling for local sustainability

EA Moallemi, E Bertone, S Eker, L Gao… - Environmental …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
Abstract The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) represent a holistic and ambitious
agenda for transforming the world towards societal well-being, economic prosperity, and …

[HTML][HTML] Exploring potential futures: Evaluating the influence of deep uncertainties in urban planning through scenario planning: A case study in Rome, Italy

S Mannucci, JH Kwakkel, M Morganti, M Ferrero - Futures, 2023 - Elsevier
Cities play a critical role in developing adaptable strategies to address the challenges posed
by climate change. However, the inherent complexity of urban environments and their …