While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Earthquake fault systems interact over a broad spectrum of spatial and temporal scales and,
in recent years, studies of the regional seismicity in a variety of regions have produced a …

On the basis of the epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model and the thinning
procedure, this paper gives the method about how to classify the earthquakes in a given …

For sensitive detection of anomalous seismicity such as quiescence and activation in a
given region, we need a suitable statistical reference model that represents a normal …

We have initially developed a time-independent forecast for southern California by
smoothing the locations of magnitude 2 and larger earthquakes. We show that using small …

We demonstrate that the statistics of earthquake data in the global Centroid Moment Tensor
(CMT) and National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) catalogs and local California …

We estimate the relative importance of small and large earthquakes for static stress changes
and for earthquake triggering, assuming that earthquakes are triggered by static stress …

On April 6, 2009, 01: 32: 39 GMT, the city of L'Aquila was struck by a Mw 6.3 earthquake that
killed 307 people, causing severe destruction and ground cracks in a wide area around the …

This paper gives the technical solutions of implementing the space-time epidemic-type
aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for short-term (1-day) earthquake forecasts for the all …

We present two models for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes in California, to
be tested in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The first is a …