Probabilistic eruption forecasting at short and long time scales

W Marzocchi, MS Bebbington - Bulletin of volcanology, 2012 - Springer
Any effective volcanic risk mitigation strategy requires a scientific assessment of the future
evolution of a volcanic system and its eruptive behavior. Some consider the onus should be …

[HTML][HTML] Monogenetic basaltic volcanoes: genetic classification, growth, geomorphology and degradation

G Kereszturi, K Németh - Updates in volcanology-new advances in …, 2012 - intechopen.com
Plate motion and associated tectonics explain the location of magmatic systems along plate
boundaries [1], however, they cannot give satisfactory explanations of the origin of intra …

Monogenetic volcanic fields: Origin, sedimentary record, and relationship with polygenetic volcanism

K Németh - What is a volcano, 2010 - books.google.com
ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION that are commonly, but not exclusively, small in eruptive
volume. Monogenetic volcanic fields commonly consist of large numbers of volcanic clusters …

Spatio-temporal hazard estimation in the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand, with a new event-order model

MS Bebbington, SJ Cronin - Bulletin of Volcanology, 2011 - Springer
Abstract The Auckland Volcanic Field (AVF) with 49 eruptive centres in the last c. 250 ka
presents many challenges to our understanding of distributed volcanic field construction and …

What makes flank eruptions? The 2001 Etna eruption and its possible triggering mechanisms

V Acocella, M Neri - Bulletin of Volcanology, 2003 - Springer
Most flank eruptions within a central stratovolcano are triggered by lateral draining of
magma from its central conduit, and only few eruptions appear to be independent of the …

The 1970 eruption on Deception Island (Antarctica): eruptive dynamics and implications for volcanic hazards

D Pedrazzi, G Aguirre-Díaz, S Bartolini… - Journal of the …, 2014 - lyellcollection.org
In the southern winter of 1970, a phreatomagmatic eruption occurred in the northern part of
Deception Island (South Shetland Archipelago, Antarctic Peninsula). The eruption, with no …

A simple two-state model interprets temporal modulations in eruptive activity and enhances multivolcano hazard quantification

J Selva, L Sandri, M Taroni, R Sulpizio, P Tierz… - Science …, 2022 - science.org
Volcanic activity typically switches between high-activity states with many eruptions and low-
activity states with few or no eruptions. We present a simple two-regime physics-informed …

Identifying volcanic regimes using hidden Markov models

MS Bebbington - Geophysical Journal International, 2007 - academic.oup.com
We examine the application of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to volcanic occurrences. The
parameters in HMMs can be estimated from data by means of the Expectation …

Stochastic models for earthquake triggering of volcanic eruptions

MS Bebbington, W Marzocchi - Journal of Geophysical …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Many accounts, anecdotal and statistical, have noted a causal effect on volcanic eruptions
from large, not too distant, earthquakes. Physical mechanisms have been proposed that …

Vents to events: determining an eruption event record from volcanic vent structures for the Harrat Rahat, Saudi Arabia

MG Runge, MS Bebbington, SJ Cronin… - Bulletin of …, 2014 - Springer
Distributed “monogenetic” volcanic eruptions commonly occur in continental settings without
obvious structural alignments or rifting/extensional structures. Nevertheless, these may …