Is Bitcoin a hedge, a safe haven or a diversifier for oil price movements? A comparison with gold
This study assesses the roles of Bitcoin as a hedge, a safe haven and/or a diversifier against
extreme oil price movements, in comparison to the corresponding roles of gold. We use a …
extreme oil price movements, in comparison to the corresponding roles of gold. We use a …
Monetary policy uncertainty
We construct a new measure of uncertainty about Federal Reserve policy actions and their
consequences, a monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) index. We evaluate the information …
consequences, a monetary policy uncertainty (MPU) index. We evaluate the information …
Policy uncertainty in Japan
EC Arbatli, SJ Davis, A Ito, N Miake - 2017 - nber.org
We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987
onwards, building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects …
onwards, building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects …
Market-based monetary policy uncertainty
Uncertainty about future policy rates plays a crucial role for the transmission of monetary
policy to financial markets. We demonstrate this using event studies of FOMC …
policy to financial markets. We demonstrate this using event studies of FOMC …
Monetary policy uncertainty and the market reaction to macroeconomic news
We examine whether monetary policy uncertainty influences the reaction of the equity,
Treasury security, foreign exchange and crude oil markets, as well as medium-term interest …
Treasury security, foreign exchange and crude oil markets, as well as medium-term interest …
Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean
This paper provides an innovative perspective on the role of gold as a hedge and safe
haven. We use a quantile-on-quantile regression approach to capture the dependence …
haven. We use a quantile-on-quantile regression approach to capture the dependence …
Monetary policy uncertainty and the response of the yield curve to policy shocks
P Tillmann - Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
This paper studies the nonlinear response of the term structure of interest rates to monetary
policy shocks and presents a new stylized fact. We show that uncertainty about monetary …
policy shocks and presents a new stylized fact. We show that uncertainty about monetary …
Uncertainty, currency excess returns, and risk reversals
In this paper we provide strong evidence that heightened uncertainty in the US real
economy or financial markets significantly raises excess returns to the currency carry trade …
economy or financial markets significantly raises excess returns to the currency carry trade …
Uncertainty and the great recession
B Born, S Breuer, S Elstner - Oxford Bulletin of Economics and …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Has heightened uncertainty been a major contributor to the Great Recession and the slow
recovery in the United States? To answer this question, we identify exogenous changes in …
recovery in the United States? To answer this question, we identify exogenous changes in …
The effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on US inequality: the role of uncertainty
The study examines the effect of monetary and fiscal policy on inequality conditioned on low
and high uncertainty. We use US quarterly time series data on different measures of income …
and high uncertainty. We use US quarterly time series data on different measures of income …