Regime changes and financial markets

A Ang, A Timmermann - Annu. Rev. Financ. Econ., 2012 - annualreviews.org
Regime-switching models can match the tendency of financial markets to often change their
behavior abruptly and the phenomenon that the new behavior of financial variables often …

[HTML][HTML] Regime shifts in coupled socio-environmental systems: Review of modelling challenges and approaches

T Filatova, JG Polhill, S Van Ewijk - Environmental modelling & software, 2016 - Elsevier
Increasing attention to regime shifts, critical transitions, non-marginal changes, and systemic
shocks calls for the development of models that are able to reproduce or grow structural …

[HTML][HTML] The asymmetric effects of oil shocks on output growth: A Markov–Switching analysis for the G-7 countries

A Cologni, M Manera - Economic Modelling, 2009 - Elsevier
Oil shocks are generally acknowledged to have important effects on both economic activity
and macroeconomic policy. The aim of this paper is to investigate how oil price shocks affect …

A hidden Markov model for collaborative filtering

N Sahoo, PV Singh, T Mukhopadhyay - MIS quarterly, 2012 - JSTOR
In this paper, we present a method to make personalized recommendations when user
preferences change over time. Most of the works in the recommender systems literature …

Regime switching in foreign exchange rates:: Evidence from currency option prices

NPB Bollen, SF Gray, RE Whaley - Journal of Econometrics, 2000 - Elsevier
This paper examines the ability of regime-switching models to capture the dynamics of
foreign exchange rates. First we test the ability of the models to fit foreign exchange rate data …

An exploration of the forward premium puzzle in currency markets

R Bansal - The Review of Financial Studies, 1997 - academic.oup.com
A standard empirical finding is that expected changes in exchange rates and interest rate
differentials across countries are negatively related, implying that uncovered interest rate …

Markov switching models in empirical finance

M Guidolin - Missing data methods: Time-series methods and …, 2011 - emerald.com
I review the burgeoning literature on applications of Markov regime switching models in
empirical finance. In particular, distinct attention is devoted to the ability of Markov Switching …

[HTML][HTML] Interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the financial crisis: A multivariate regime-switching approach

D Aristei, M Gallo - Journal of Policy Modeling, 2014 - Elsevier
In this paper we use a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model to analyse the interest
rate pass-through between interbank and retail bank rates in the Euro area. Empirical …

A regime-switching approach to the study of speculative attacks: A focus on EMS crises

MS Martinez Peria - Advances in Markov-Switching Models: Applications …, 2002 - Springer
This paper implements a regime-switching framework to study speculative attacks against
EMS currencies during 1979–1993. To identify speculative episodes, we model exchange …

[HTML][HTML] Target zones and exchange rates:: An empirical investigation

G Bekaert, SF Gray - Journal of International Economics, 1998 - Elsevier
This paper develops an empirical model of exchange rates in a target zone. The distribution
of exchange rate changes is conditioned on a latent jump variable where the probability and …