A new representation of the risk-neutral distribution and its applications

Z Cui, Y Xu - Quantitative Finance, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
This paper establishes a novel model-free representation of the risk-neutral density in terms
of market-observed options prices by combining exact series representations of the Dirac …

VIX option pricing through nonaffine GARCH dynamics and semianalytical formula

J Liu, Q Wang, Y Zhang - Journal of Futures Markets, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This paper develops analytical approximations for volatility index (VIX) option pricing under
nonaffine generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models as …

Empirical Pricing Kernel and Option-Implied Risk Aversion in China 50 ETF

HC Sung, L Shi - Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Based on an analysis of the China 50 ETF options and their underlying assets, we measure
the empirical pricing kernel and implied risk aversion. By employing a Markov-switching …

Orthogonal expansions for VIX options under affine jump diffusions

A Barletta, E Nicolato - Quantitative Finance, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
In this work we derive new closed-form pricing formulas for VIX options in the jump-diffusion
SVJJ model proposed by Duffie et al.[Econometrica, 2000, 68, 1343–1376]. Our approach is …

Implicit entropic market risk-premium from interest rate derivatives

J Arismendi-Zambrano, R Azevedo - Michael J. Brennan Irish …, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Implicit in interest rate derivatives are Arrow–Debreu prices (or state price densities, SPDs)
that contain funda-mental information for risk and portfolio management in interest rate …

[PDF][PDF] Pricing European Options Using Burr-XII Distribution: Simulations and Risk Neutral Density

P Chidzalo, J Abonongo, AN Mandia, MRN Kenmoe - 2023 - researchgate.net
The precise calculation of risk-neutral probability density plays a pivotal role in modeling
and forecasting European put and call options, holding significant importance. The Burr-XII …

[HTML][HTML] Analyzing the Risks Embedded in Option Prices with rndfittool

A Barletta, P Santucci de Magistris - Risks, 2018 - mdpi.com
This paper introduces a new computational tool for the analysis of the risks embedded in a
set of prices of European-style options. The software enables the estimation of the risk …

Dynamic analysis of implied risk neutral density

A Aloulou, Y Boujelbene - International Journal of Monetary …, 2019 - inderscienceonline.com
The risk neutral densities is an important tool for analysing the dynamics of financial markets
and traders' attitudes and reactions to already experienced shocks by financial markets as …

[PDF][PDF] Department of Economics, Finance & Accounting _

J Arismendi-Zambranob, R Azevedoc - repec.maynoothuniversity.ie
Implicit in interest rate derivatives are Arrow–Debreu prices (or state price densities, SPDs)
that contain fundamental information for risk and portfolio management in interest rate …

Direct semi-parametric estimation of the state price density implied in option prices

G Frasso, PHC Eilers - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
We present a model for direct semi-parametric estimation of the state price density (SPD)
implied by quoted option prices. We treat the observed prices as expected values of …