Machine learning advances for time series forecasting
RP Masini, MC Medeiros… - Journal of economic …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning (ML) and
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …
High-dimensional multivariate forecasting with low-rank gaussian copula processes
D Salinas, M Bohlke-Schneider… - Advances in neural …, 2019 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for
applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or …
applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or …
Oracle inequalities for high dimensional vector autoregressions
This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and
estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These …
estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These …
Macroeconomic forecasting using penalized regression methods
We study the suitability of applying lasso-type penalized regression techniques to macroe-
conomic forecasting with high-dimensional datasets. We consider the performances of lasso …
conomic forecasting with high-dimensional datasets. We consider the performances of lasso …
High‐dimensional macroeconomic forecasting and variable selection via penalized regression
This study examines high-dimensional forecasting and variable selection via folded-
concave penalized regressions. The penalized regression approach leads to sparse …
concave penalized regressions. The penalized regression approach leads to sparse …
Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction
M Mogliani, A Simoni - Journal of Econometrics, 2021 - Elsevier
We propose a new approach to mixed-frequency regressions in a high-dimensional
environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian estimation and …
environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian estimation and …
Determination of vector error correction models in high dimensions
C Liang, M Schienle - Journal of econometrics, 2019 - Elsevier
We provide a shrinkage type methodology which allows for simultaneous model selection
and estimation of vector error correction models (VECM) when the dimension is large and …
and estimation of vector error correction models (VECM) when the dimension is large and …
Unit roots and cointegration
In this chapter we investigate how the possible presence of unit roots and cointegration
affects forecasting with Big Data. As most macroeoconomic time series are very persistent …
affects forecasting with Big Data. As most macroeoconomic time series are very persistent …
Penalized time series regression
This chapter covers penalized regression in the framework of linear time series models and
reviews the most commonly used penalized estimators in applied work, namely Ridge …
reviews the most commonly used penalized estimators in applied work, namely Ridge …
Testing the lag structure of assets' realized volatility dynamics
F Audrino, L Camponovo, C Roth - Available at SSRN 2549063, 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
A (conservative) test is constructed to investigate the optimal lag structure for forecasting
realized volatility dynamics. The testing procedure relies on the recent theoretical results that …
realized volatility dynamics. The testing procedure relies on the recent theoretical results that …