From origami to software development: a review of studies on judgment-based predictions of performance time.
T Halkjelsvik, M Jørgensen - Psychological bulletin, 2012 - psycnet.apa.org
This article provides an integrative review of the literature on judgment-based predictions of
performance time, often described as task duration predictions in psychology and as expert …
performance time, often described as task duration predictions in psychology and as expert …
Managing the message: The effects of firm actions and industry spillovers on media coverage following wrongdoing
We contribute to research on the management of social perceptions by considering the
relative effectiveness of a firm's technical and ceremonial actions in managing media …
relative effectiveness of a firm's technical and ceremonial actions in managing media …
Wishful thinking about the future: Does desire impact optimism?
Z Krizan, PD Windschitl - Social and Personality Psychology …, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
The notion that desire for an outcome inflates optimism about that outcome has been
dubbed the desirability bias or wishful thinking. In this paper, we discuss the importance of …
dubbed the desirability bias or wishful thinking. In this paper, we discuss the importance of …
The planning fallacy: Cognitive, motivational, and social origins
The planning fallacy refers to a prediction phenomenon, all too familiar to many, wherein
people underestimate the time it will take to complete a future task, despite knowledge that …
people underestimate the time it will take to complete a future task, despite knowledge that …
Understanding project management performance using a comparative overrun measure
Project managers need support to diagnose project management performance problems.
Diagnosis happens when managers learn about prior project management performance by …
Diagnosis happens when managers learn about prior project management performance by …
Reducing cost overrun in public housing projects: a simplified reference class forecast for small island developing states
Inaccuracies in cost estimation on construction projects is a contested topic in praxis. Among
the leading explanations for cost overrun (CO), factors accounting for large variances in …
the leading explanations for cost overrun (CO), factors accounting for large variances in …
Sobering up: A quantitative review of temporal declines in expectations.
Although people's outlook on the future tends to be characterized by hope and optimism,
over time this outlook often becomes more dire. We review multiple theoretical accounts of …
over time this outlook often becomes more dire. We review multiple theoretical accounts of …
Time pressure, performance, and productivity
Purpose–The purpose of this chapter is to explore the question of whether there is an
optimal level of time pressure in groups. Design/approach–We argue that distinguishing …
optimal level of time pressure in groups. Design/approach–We argue that distinguishing …
Can the outside‐view approach improve planning decisions in software development projects?
This study empirically tackles the question of whether taking an outside‐view approach,
recommended for reducing the irrational behaviours associated with the planning fallacy …
recommended for reducing the irrational behaviours associated with the planning fallacy …
Making sense of failure: A motivated model of hindsight bias
MV Pezzo, SP Pezzo - Social cognition, 2007 - Guilford Press
Can we learn from our mistakes? Does the large body of research demonstrating hindsight
bias indicate that people are not likely to take responsibility for their errors and thus deprive …
bias indicate that people are not likely to take responsibility for their errors and thus deprive …