Probabilistic forecasting of wind power ramp events using autoregressive logit models

JW Taylor - European Journal of Operational Research, 2017 - Elsevier
A challenge for the efficient operation of power systems and wind farms is the occurrence of
wind power ramps, which are sudden large changes in the power output from a wind farm …

A novel transformer ordinal regression network with label diversity for wind power ramp events forecasting

J Hu, L Zhang, J Tang, Z Liu - Energy, 2023 - Elsevier
Large-scale integration of wind energy and large-amplitude wind power fluctuation in
minutes to hours, imposes unprecedented challenges of retaining reliable and secure power …

Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme wind events in Canadian cities

M Morris, PJ Kushner, GWK Moore… - Journal of …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Extreme near-surface wind speeds in cities can have major societal impacts but are not well
represented in climate models. Despite this, large-scale dynamics in the free troposphere …

Characterisation of intra-hourly wind power ramps at the wind farm scale and associated processes

M Pichault, C Vincent, G Skidmore… - Wind Energy Science …, 2020 - wes.copernicus.org
One of the main factors contributing to wind power forecast inaccuracies is the occurrence of
large changes in wind power output over a short amount of time, also called ramp events. In …

Resolution Dependence of Extreme Wind Speed Projections in the Great Lakes Region

M Morris, PJ Kushner, GWK Moore… - Journal of …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
The effect of anthropogenic climate change on extreme near-surface wind speeds is
uncertain. Observed trends are weak and difficult to disentangle from internal variability, and …

Offshore low-level jet observations and model representation using lidar buoy data off the California coast

LM Sheridan, R Krishnamurthy… - Wind Energy …, 2023 - wes.copernicus.org
Low-level jets (LLJs) occur under a variety of atmospheric conditions and influence the
available wind resource for wind energy projects. In 2020, lidar-mounted buoys owned by …

A novel approach for power ramps classification in wind generation

MS Eltohamy, MS Abdel Moteleb, HEA Talaat… - Scientific Reports, 2023 - nature.com
Ramp events are characterized by large power changes in a short period and increase with
increasing renewable generation. Even with hourly forecasts, their predictions are still …

Day‐ahead wind power ramp forecasting using an image‐based similarity search strategy

B Cao, L Chang, X Gong, P Pijnenburg… - IET Renewable …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
With the increase in penetration of wind generation on interconnected power systems, the
importance of wind power ramp forecasting has continuously grown. Large power ramps …

Case study of a bore wind-ramp event from lidar measurements and HRRR simulations over ARM Southern Great Plains

YL Pichugina, RM Banta, EJ Strobach… - Journal of Renewable …, 2024 - pubs.aip.org
The rapid change of wind speed and direction on 21 August 2017 is studied using Doppler
lidar measurements at five sites of the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Southern …

Wind and wind power ramp variability over Northern Mexico

K Pereyra-Castro, E Caetano, O Martínez-Alvarado… - Atmosphere, 2020 - mdpi.com
The seasonal and diurnal variability of the wind resource in Northern Mexico is examined.
Fourteen weather stations were grouped according to the terrain morphology and weather …