Model averaging in ecology: A review of Bayesian, information‐theoretic, and tactical approaches for predictive inference
CF Dormann, JM Calabrese… - Ecological …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
In ecology, the true causal structure for a given problem is often not known, and several
plausible models and thus model predictions exist. It has been claimed that using weighted …
plausible models and thus model predictions exist. It has been claimed that using weighted …
Recent progress in tropical cyclone intensity forecasting at the National Hurricane Center
JP Cangialosi, E Blake, M DeMaria… - Weather and …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
It has been well documented that the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has made significant
improvements in Atlantic basin tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting during the past half …
improvements in Atlantic basin tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting during the past half …
Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
Short-term probabilistic forecasts of the trajectory of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United
States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific …
States have served as a visible and important communication channel between the scientific …
North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply
Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection,
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …
Multi-model ensemble predictions of precipitation and temperature using machine learning algorithms
Abstract Multi-Model Ensembles (MMEs) are often employed to reduce the uncertainties
related to GCM simulations/projections. The objective of this study was to evaluate the …
related to GCM simulations/projections. The objective of this study was to evaluate the …
[PDF][PDF] 气候变化对我国水资源影响研究面临的机遇与挑战
夏军， 刘春蓁， 任国玉 - 地球科学进展, 2011 - researchgate.net
气候变化对水资源安全的影响是国际上普遍关心的全球性问题, 也是我国可持续发展面临的重大
战略问题. 在文献综述基础上, 总结提出气候变化与水循环是国际全球变化与水科学领域的重大 …
战略问题. 在文献综述基础上, 总结提出气候变化与水循环是国际全球变化与水科学领域的重大 …
Selection of multi-model ensemble of general circulation models for the simulation of precipitation and maximum and minimum temperature based on spatial …
The climate modelling community has trialled a large number of metrics for evaluating the
temporal performance of general circulation models (GCMs), while very little attention has …
temporal performance of general circulation models (GCMs), while very little attention has …
Generating ensemble streamflow forecasts: A review of methods and approaches over the past 40 years
Ensemble forecasting applied to the field of hydrology is currently an established area of
research embracing a broad spectrum of operational situations. This work catalogs the …
research embracing a broad spectrum of operational situations. This work catalogs the …
[HTML][HTML] The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A multimodel subseasonal prediction experiment
The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A Multimodel Subseasonal Prediction Experiment in:
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Volume 100 Issue 10 (2019) Jump to …
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Volume 100 Issue 10 (2019) Jump to …
Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models
Recent coordinated efforts, in which numerous general circulation climate models have
been run for a common set of experiments, have produced large datasets of projections of …
been run for a common set of experiments, have produced large datasets of projections of …