数值模式的预报策略和方法研究进展

任宏利, 丑纪范 - 地球科学进展, 2007 - adearth.ac.cn
数值预报经历了半个多世纪的发展, 已成为当前主要的客观预报工具. 在模式和资料状况给定的
情况下, 预报效果的改善很大程度上依赖于所采用的预报策略和方法. 为此 …

A review of seasonal climate prediction research in China

H Wang, K Fan, J Sun, S Li, Z Lin, G Zhou… - … in Atmospheric Sciences, 2015 - Springer
The ultimate goal of climate research is to produce climate predictions on various time
scales. In China, efforts to predict the climate started in the 1930s. Experimental operational …

动力相似预报的策略和方法研究

任宏利, 丑纪范 - 2007 - ir.lzu.edu.cn
摘要为了在现有模式和资料条件下有效提高数值预报水平, 深入开展了动力相似预报(DAP)
的策略和方法研究. 提出" 利用历史相似信息对模式预报误差进行预报" 的新思路 …

Improving Predictions of Tibetan Plateau Summer Precipitation Using a Sea Surface Temperature Analog-Based Correction Method

L Wang, HL Ren, X Xu, L Gao, B Chen, J Li, H Che… - Remote Sensing, 2023 - mdpi.com
Boreal summer precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is difficult to predict in current
climate models and has become a challenging issue. To address this issue, a new analog …

Multi-year simulations and experimental seasonal predictions for rainy seasons in China by using a nested regional climate model (RegCM_NCC). Part I: Sensitivity …

Y Ding, X Shi, Y Liu, Y Liu, Q Li, Y Qian, M Miao… - … in Atmospheric Sciences, 2006 - Springer
A modified version of the NCAR/RegCM2 has been developed at the National Climate
Center (NCC), China Meteorological Administration, through a series of sensitivity …

Strategy and methodology of dynamical analogue prediction

HL Ren, JF Chou - Science in China Series D: Earth Sciences, 2007 - Springer
In order to effectively improve numerical prediction level by using current models and data,
the strategy and methodology of dynamical analogue prediction (DAP) is deeply studied in …

Design and testing of a global climate prediction system based on a coupled climate model

JH Ma, HJ Wang - Science China Earth Sciences, 2014 - Springer
A global climate prediction system (PCCSM4) was developed based on the Community
Climate System Model, version 4.0, developed by the National Center for Atmospheric …

Development of the analogue-dynamical method for error correction of numerical forecasts

H Yu, J Huang, W Li, G Feng - Journal of Meteorological Research, 2014 - Springer
Due to the increasing requirement for high-level weather and climate forecasting accuracy, it
is necessary to exploit a strategy for model error correction while developing numerical …

数值预报误差订正技术中相似-动力方法的发展

于海鹏, 黄建平, 李维京, 封国林 - 气象学报, 2014 - pubs.cstam.org.cn
随着对天气和气候预测准确率要求的提高, 在发展数值模式和资料同化技术的同时,
很有必要在现有数值模式基础上开发误差订正技术. 基于预报误差的不同类型对订正技术进行了 …

Seasonal and extraseasonal predictions of summer monsoon precipitation by gems (1)

Z Qingcun, Y Chongguang, L Xu, Z Ronghua… - … in Atmospheric Sciences, 1997 - Springer
A semi-operational real time short-term climate prediction system has been developed in the
Center of Climate and Environment Prediction Research (CCEPRE), Institute of Atmospheric …