[HTML][HTML] Bivariate binomial autoregressive models

MG Scotto, CH Weiß, ME Silva, I Pereira - Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 2014 - Elsevier
This paper introduces new classes of bivariate time series models being useful to fit count
data time series with a finite range of counts. Motivation comes mainly from the comparison …

On bivariate threshold Poisson integer-valued autoregressive processes

K Yang, Y Zhao, H Li, D Wang - Metrika, 2023 - Springer
To capture the bivariate count time series showing piecewise phenomena, we introduce a
first-order bivariate threshold Poisson integer-valued autoregressive process. Basic …

Predicting US‐and state‐level cancer counts for the current calendar year: Part I: evaluation of temporal projection methods for mortality

HS Chen, K Portier, K Ghosh, D Naishadham, HJ Kim… - Cancer, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
BACKGROUND: A study was undertaken to evaluate the temporal projection methods that
are applied by the American Cancer Society to predict 4‐year‐ahead projections …

Bayesian dynamic modeling of time series of dengue disease case counts

DA Martínez-Bello, A López-Quílez… - PLoS neglected …, 2017 - journals.plos.org
The aim of this study is to model the association between weekly time series of dengue case
counts and meteorological variables, in a high-incidence city of Colombia, applying …

Bayesian modeling of multivariate time series of counts

R Soyer, D Zhang - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
In this article, we present an overview of recent advances in Bayesian modeling and
analysis of multivariate time series of counts. We discuss basic modeling strategies …

Updated methodology for projecting US-and state-level cancer counts for the current calendar year: part II: evaluation of incidence and mortality projection methods

KD Miller, RL Siegel, B Liu, L Zhu, J Zou, A Jemal… - … Biomarkers & Prevention, 2021 - AACR
Abstract Background: The American Cancer Society (ACS) and the NCI collaborate every 5
to 8 years to update the methods for estimating the numbers of new cancer cases and …

Autoregressive and moving average models for zero‐inflated count time series

V Sathish, S Mukhopadhyay, R Tiwari - Statistica Neerlandica, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Zero inflation is a common nuisance while monitoring disease progression over time. This
article proposes a new observation‐driven model for zero‐inflated and over‐dispersed …

Retrospective time series analysis of veterinary laboratory data: preparing a historical baseline for cluster detection in syndromic surveillance

FC Dórea, CW Revie, BJ McEwen, WB McNab… - Preventive veterinary …, 2013 - Elsevier
The practice of disease surveillance has shifted in the last two decades towards the
introduction of systems capable of early detection of disease. Modern biosurveillance …

Bayesian optimisation of restriction zones for bluetongue control

T Spooner, AE Jones, J Fearnley, R Savani, J Turner… - Scientific reports, 2020 - nature.com
We investigate the restriction of animal movements as a method to control the spread of
bluetongue, an infectious disease of livestock that is becoming increasingly prevalent due to …

Using Bayes' rule to define the value of evidence from syndromic surveillance

MG Andersson, C Faverjon, F Vial, L Legrand… - PloS one, 2014 - journals.plos.org
In this work we propose the adoption of a statistical framework used in the evaluation of
forensic evidence as a tool for evaluating and presenting circumstantial “evidence” of a …