Uncertainty before and during COVID‐19: A survey

E Castelnuovo - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This survey features three parts. The first one reviews the most recent literature on the
relationship between domestic (ie, country‐specific) uncertainty and the business cycle, and …

Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns in PacificRim countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian panel VAR model

C Christou, J Cunado, R Gupta, C Hassapis - Journal of Multinational …, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper examines the role of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on stock market returns
for six countries (Australia, Canada, China, Japan, Korea and the US), based on a panel …

Oil prices and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from a nonparametric panel data model

A Hailemariam, R Smyth, X Zhang - Energy economics, 2019 - Elsevier
We examine the relationship between oil prices and economic policy uncertainty in G7
countries. To do so, we employ a nonparametric panel data technique that allows the trend …

Macroeconomic uncertainty through the lens of professional forecasters

S Jo, R Sekkel - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
We analyze the evolution of macroeconomic uncertainty in the United States, based on the
forecast errors of consensus survey forecasts of various economic indicators …

The international effects of global financial uncertainty shocks

D Bonciani, M Ricci - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2020 - Elsevier
In this paper, we study the impact of sudden rises in global financial uncertainty on small
open economies. To this end, we extract a global factor from the realised volatilities of about …

The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea

M Balcilar, R Gupta, WJ Kim, C Kyei - International Review of Economics & …, 2019 - Elsevier
This paper analyzes whether we can predict stock return and its volatility of Hong Kong,
Malaysia and South Korea based on measures of domestic and global (China, the …

Does economic policy uncertainty in the US influence stock markets in China and India? Time-frequency evidence

R Li, S Li, D Yuan, K Yu - Applied Economics, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
This paper uses continuous and discrete wavelet tools to evaluate the dynamic correlation
and causality between the US economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock markets in …

Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty

R Gupta, J Ma, M Risse, ME Wohar - Journal of Macroeconomics, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper analyses the role of a news-based measure of economic policy uncertainty
(EPU) in explaining time-varying co-movements in economic activity and volatility of 48 US …

The evolving impact of global, region-specific, and country-specific uncertainty

H Mumtaz, A Musso - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
We develop a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility,
estimate it using a large panel of macroeconomic and financial data for 22 countries and …

Global financial uncertainty

G Caggiano, E Castelnuovo - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor
framework that jointly models global, regional, and country‐specific factors. We quantify the …