Uncertainty before and during COVID‐19: A survey
E Castelnuovo - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This survey features three parts. The first one reviews the most recent literature on the
relationship between domestic (ie, country‐specific) uncertainty and the business cycle, and …
relationship between domestic (ie, country‐specific) uncertainty and the business cycle, and …
Economic policy uncertainty and stock market returns in PacificRim countries: Evidence based on a Bayesian panel VAR model
This paper examines the role of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on stock market returns
for six countries (Australia, Canada, China, Japan, Korea and the US), based on a panel …
for six countries (Australia, Canada, China, Japan, Korea and the US), based on a panel …
Oil prices and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from a nonparametric panel data model
We examine the relationship between oil prices and economic policy uncertainty in G7
countries. To do so, we employ a nonparametric panel data technique that allows the trend …
countries. To do so, we employ a nonparametric panel data technique that allows the trend …
Macroeconomic uncertainty through the lens of professional forecasters
We analyze the evolution of macroeconomic uncertainty in the United States, based on the
forecast errors of consensus survey forecasts of various economic indicators …
forecast errors of consensus survey forecasts of various economic indicators …
The international effects of global financial uncertainty shocks
D Bonciani, M Ricci - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2020 - Elsevier
In this paper, we study the impact of sudden rises in global financial uncertainty on small
open economies. To this end, we extract a global factor from the realised volatilities of about …
open economies. To this end, we extract a global factor from the realised volatilities of about …
The role of economic policy uncertainties in predicting stock returns and their volatility for Hong Kong, Malaysia and South Korea
This paper analyzes whether we can predict stock return and its volatility of Hong Kong,
Malaysia and South Korea based on measures of domestic and global (China, the …
Malaysia and South Korea based on measures of domestic and global (China, the …
Does economic policy uncertainty in the US influence stock markets in China and India? Time-frequency evidence
R Li, S Li, D Yuan, K Yu - Applied Economics, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
This paper uses continuous and discrete wavelet tools to evaluate the dynamic correlation
and causality between the US economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock markets in …
and causality between the US economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock markets in …
Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty
This paper analyses the role of a news-based measure of economic policy uncertainty
(EPU) in explaining time-varying co-movements in economic activity and volatility of 48 US …
(EPU) in explaining time-varying co-movements in economic activity and volatility of 48 US …
The evolving impact of global, region-specific, and country-specific uncertainty
H Mumtaz, A Musso - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
We develop a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility,
estimate it using a large panel of macroeconomic and financial data for 22 countries and …
estimate it using a large panel of macroeconomic and financial data for 22 countries and …
Global financial uncertainty
G Caggiano, E Castelnuovo - Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor
framework that jointly models global, regional, and country‐specific factors. We quantify the …
framework that jointly models global, regional, and country‐specific factors. We quantify the …