An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

SC Sherwood, MJ Webb, JD Annan… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …

Context for interpreting equilibrium climate sensitivity and transient climate response from the CMIP6 Earth system models

GA Meehl, CA Senior, V Eyring, G Flato… - Science …, 2020 - science.org
For the current generation of earth system models participating in the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), the range of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS …

Presentation and evaluation of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR climate model

O Boucher, J Servonnat, AL Albright… - Journal of Advances …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
This study presents the global climate model IPSL‐CM6A‐LR developed at Institut Pierre‐
Simon Laplace (IPSL) to study natural climate variability and climate response to natural and …

Causes of higher climate sensitivity in CMIP6 models

MD Zelinka, TA Myers, DT McCoy… - Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Equilibrium climate sensitivity, the global surface temperature response to CO doubling, has
been persistently uncertain. Recent consensus places it likely within 1.5–4.5 K. Global …

On the future zonal contrasts of equatorial Pacific climate: Perspectives from Observations, Simulations, and Theories

S Lee, M L'Heureux, AT Wittenberg, R Seager… - Npj Climate and …, 2022 - nature.com
Abstract Changes in the zonal gradients of sea surface temperature (SST) across the
equatorial Pacific have major consequences for global climate. Therefore, accurate future …

[HTML][HTML] Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

FJMM Nijsse, PM Cox, MS Williamson - Earth System Dynamics, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
Climate sensitivity to CO 2 remains the key uncertainty in projections of future climate
change. Transient climate response (TCR) is the metric of temperature sensitivity that is most …

Quantifying progress across different CMIP phases with the ESMValTool

L Bock, A Lauer, M Schlund, M Barreiro… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
More than 40 model groups worldwide are participating in the Coupled Model
Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), providing a new and rich source of information to …

Robust decrease in El Niño/Southern Oscillation amplitude under long-term warming

CW Callahan, C Chen, M Rugenstein… - Nature Climate …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the primary mode of interannual climate
variability, and understanding its response to climate change is critical, but research remains …

On the effect of historical SST patterns on radiative feedback

T Andrews, A Bodas‐Salcedo… - Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate the dependence of radiative feedback on the pattern of sea‐surface
temperature (SST) change in 14 Atmospheric General Circulation Models (AGCMs) forced …

[HTML][HTML] Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?

M Schlund, A Lauer, P Gentine… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
An important metric for temperature projections is the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS),
which is defined as the global mean surface air temperature change caused by a doubling …