Detection of approaching critical transitions in natural systems driven by red noise
A Morr, N Boers - Physical Review X, 2024 - APS
Detection of critical slowing down (CSD) is the dominant avenue for anticipating critical
transitions from noisy time-series data. Most commonly, changes in variance and lag-1 …
transitions from noisy time-series data. Most commonly, changes in variance and lag-1 …
Unveiling geomagnetic reversals: Insights from tipping points theory
The geomagnetic field shows aperiodic reversals and excursions separated by stable
polarity periods. Although the exact mechanisms responsible of reversals are still debated …
polarity periods. Although the exact mechanisms responsible of reversals are still debated …
Anticipating critical transitions in multidimensional systems driven by time-and state-dependent noise
Anticipating bifurcation-induced transitions in dynamical systems has gained relevance in
various fields of the natural, social, and economic sciences. Before the annihilation of a …
various fields of the natural, social, and economic sciences. Before the annihilation of a …
Effective precursors for self-organization of complex systems into a critical state based on dynamic series data
A Dmitriev, A Lebedev, V Kornilov, V Dmitriev - Frontiers in Physics, 2023 - frontiersin.org
Many different precursors are known, but not all of which are effective, ie, giving enough time
to take preventive measures and with a minimum number of false early warning signals. The …
to take preventive measures and with a minimum number of false early warning signals. The …
Rate-induced tipping in ecosystems and climate: the role of unstable states, basin boundaries and transient dynamics
U Feudel - Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions, 2023 - npg.copernicus.org
The climate system as well as ecosystems might undergo relatively sudden qualitative
changes in the dynamics when environmental parameters or external forcings vary due to …
changes in the dynamics when environmental parameters or external forcings vary due to …
Earth system resilience and tipping behavior
Anthropogenic climate change, marked by unprecedented extremes, is an immediate
concern. The Earth's limited ability to adapt to abrupt changes within our societal timeframe …
concern. The Earth's limited ability to adapt to abrupt changes within our societal timeframe …
Identifying impending failure in heterogeneous materials: A study on acoustic emission time series
LF Friedrich, ÉS Cezar, AB Colpo, BNR Tanzi… - Chaos, Solitons & …, 2024 - Elsevier
In the present paper, precursors to identify impending failure in heterogeneous materials are
investigated by analyzing Acoustic Emission (AE) time series. Three main approaches are …
investigated by analyzing Acoustic Emission (AE) time series. Three main approaches are …
Ecosystem Resilience Monitoring and Early Warning Using Earth Observation Data: Challenges and Outlook
As the Earth system is exposed to large anthropogenic interferences, it becomes ever more
important to assess the resilience of natural systems, ie, their ability to recover from natural …
important to assess the resilience of natural systems, ie, their ability to recover from natural …
Internal Noise Interference to Warnings of Tipping Points in Generic Multidimensional Dynamical Systems
A deterministic dynamical system that slowly passes through a generic fold-type (saddle-
node) bifurcation can be reduced to one-dimensional dynamics close to the bifurcation …
node) bifurcation can be reduced to one-dimensional dynamics close to the bifurcation …
Twitter Self‐Organization to the Edge of a Phase Transition: Discrete‐Time Model and Effective Early Warning Signals in Phase Space
A Dmitriev, A Lebedev, V Kornilov, V Dmitriev - Complexity, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Many real‐world systems of various origins are capable of self‐organization to the edge of a
phase transition, characterized by avalanche‐like behavior. Therefore, it is important, by …
phase transition, characterized by avalanche‐like behavior. Therefore, it is important, by …