The changing thermal state of permafrost

SL Smith, HB O'Neill, K Isaksen, J Noetzli… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2022 - nature.com
Permafrost temperatures have increased in polar and high-elevation regions, affecting the
climate system and the integrity of natural and built environments. In this Review, we outline …

The European mountain cryosphere: a review of its current state, trends, and future challenges

M Beniston, D Farinotti, M Stoffel, LM Andreassen… - The …, 2018 - tc.copernicus.org
The mountain cryosphere of mainland Europe is recognized to have important impacts on a
range of environmental processes. In this paper, we provide an overview on the current …

Degrading permafrost puts Arctic infrastructure at risk by mid-century

J Hjort, O Karjalainen, J Aalto, S Westermann… - Nature …, 2018 - nature.com
Degradation of near-surface permafrost can pose a serious threat to the utilization of natural
resources, and to the sustainable development of Arctic communities. Here we identify at …

21st-century modeled permafrost carbon emissions accelerated by abrupt thaw beneath lakes

K Walter Anthony, T Schneider von Deimling… - Nature …, 2018 - nature.com
Permafrost carbon feedback (PCF) modeling has focused on gradual thaw of near-surface
permafrost leading to enhanced carbon dioxide and methane emissions that accelerate …

Climate warming over the past half century has led to thermal degradation of permafrost on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

Y Ran, X Li, G Cheng - The Cryosphere, 2018 - tc.copernicus.org
Air temperature increases thermally degrade permafrost, which has widespread impacts on
engineering design, resource development, and environmental protection in cold regions …

Fast response of cold ice-rich permafrost in northeast Siberia to a warming climate

J Nitzbon, S Westermann, M Langer, LCP Martin… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
The ice-and organic-rich permafrost of the northeast Siberian Arctic lowlands (NESAL) has
been projected to remain stable beyond 2100, even under pessimistic climate warming …

Simulation of the present and future projection of permafrost on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau with statistical and machine learning models

J Ni, T Wu, X Zhu, G Hu, D Zou, X Wu… - Journal of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The comprehensive understanding of the occurred changes of permafrost, including the
changes of mean annual ground temperature (MAGT) and active layer thickness (ALT), on …

Advances in land surface modelling

EM Blyth, VK Arora, DB Clark, SJ Dadson… - Current Climate Change …, 2021 - Springer
Land surface models have an increasing scope. Initially designed to capture the feedbacks
between the land and the atmosphere as part of weather and climate prediction, they are …

Statistical forecasting of current and future circum‐Arctic ground temperatures and active layer thickness

J Aalto, O Karjalainen, J Hjort… - Geophysical Research …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Mean annual ground temperature (MAGT) and active layer thickness (ALT) are key to
understanding the evolution of the ground thermal state across the Arctic under climate …

A 16-year record (2002–2017) of permafrost, active-layer, and meteorological conditions at the Samoylov Island Arctic permafrost research site, Lena River delta …

J Boike, J Nitzbon, K Anders, M Grigoriev… - Earth System …, 2019 - essd.copernicus.org
Most of the world's permafrost is located in the Arctic, where its frozen organic carbon
content makes it a potentially important influence on the global climate system. The Arctic …