Machine learning advances for time series forecasting

RP Masini, MC Medeiros… - Journal of economic …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning (ML) and
high‐dimensional models for time‐series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear …

[PDF][PDF] Can the term spread predict output growth and recessions? A survey of the literature

DC Wheelock, ME Wohar - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis …, 2009 - files.stlouisfed.org
This article surveys recent research on the usefulness of the term spread (ie, the difference
between the yields on long-term and short-term Treasury securities) for predicting changes …

Implications of COVID-19 pandemic on the global trade networks

CT Vidya, KP Prabheesh - Research on Pandemics, 2021 - taylorfrancis.com
This article measures the trade interconnectedness among countries before and after the
COVID-19 outbreak, and forecasts the future direction of trade. Using Trade Network …

Impact of COVID-19 on GDP of major economies: Application of the artificial neural network forecaster

PR Jena, R Majhi, R Kalli, S Managi, B Majhi - Economic Analysis and …, 2021 - Elsevier
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has caused global health impacts, and governments
have restricted movements to a certain extent. Such restrictions have led to disruptions in …

25 years of time series forecasting

JG De Gooijer, RJ Hyndman - International journal of forecasting, 2006 - Elsevier
We review the past 25 years of research into time series forecasting. In this silver jubilee
issue, we naturally highlight results published in journals managed by the International …

Forecasting output and inflation: The role of asset prices

JH Stock, MW Watson - Journal of economic literature, 2003 - aeaweb.org
Are asset prices useful predictors of inflation and real output growth? After reviewing the
large literature on this topic, we undertake an empirical analysis of quarterly data for seven …

A neural network approach for credit risk evaluation

E Angelini, G Di Tollo, A Roli - The quarterly review of economics and …, 2008 - Elsevier
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision proposes a capital adequacy framework that
allows banks to calculate capital requirement for their banking books using internal …

A comparison between Fama and French's model and artificial neural networks in predicting the Chinese stock market

Q Cao, KB Leggio, MJ Schniederjans - Computers & Operations Research, 2005 - Elsevier
Evidence exists that emerging market stock returns are influenced by a different set of factors
than those that influence the returns for stocks traded in developed countries. This study …

Linear models, smooth transition autoregressions, and neural networks for forecasting macroeconomic time series: A re-examination

T Teräsvirta, D Van Dijk, MC Medeiros - International Journal of …, 2005 - Elsevier
In this paper, we examine the forecast accuracy of linear autoregressive, smooth transition
autoregressive (STAR), and neural network (NN) time series models for 47 monthly …

Neural network forecasts of Canadian stock returns using accounting ratios

D Olson, C Mossman - International Journal of Forecasting, 2003 - Elsevier
This study compares neural network forecasts of one-year-ahead Canadian stock returns
with the forecasts obtained using ordinary least squares (OLS) and logistic regression (logit) …