This article proposes a unifying theory, or the Golden Rule, of forecasting. The Golden Rule
of Forecasting is to be conservative. A conservative forecast is consistent with cumulative …

A review of the evidence leaves no doubt election campaigns do matter in a variety of
important ways. The serious questions concern when, where, why, how, for what, and for …

When Barack Obama won the presidency, many posited that we were entering into a post-
racial period in American politics. Regrettably, the reality hasn't lived up to that expectation …

Untitled Page 1 Page 2 WHITE BACKLASH Page 3 Page 4 WHITE BACKLASH Immigration,
Race, and American Politics Marisa Abrajano & Zoltan L. Hajnal Princeton University Press …

Among the ways that digital media has transformed political activism, the most remarkable is
not that new media allows disorganized masses to speak, but that it enables organized …

Providing an in-depth analysis of public opinion, including its origins in political
socialization, its role in the electoral process, and the impact of the media, American Public …

Economic perceptions affect policy preferences and government support. It thus matters that
these perceptions are driven by factors other than the economy, including media coverage …

Politics is a trial in which those in government-and those who aspire to serve-make
proposals, debate alternatives, and pass laws. Then the jury of public opinion decides. It …

The good result of the recently formed Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) was a striking
outcome of the 2013 Federal Election. This article explores why AfD supporters chose this …

The 2016 presidential election was a jarring event for polling in the United States.
Preelection polls fueled high-profile predictions that Hillary Clinton's likelihood of winning …