[HTML][HTML] Exploring the Origin of the Two-Week Predictability Limit: A Revisit of Lorenz's Predictability Studies in the 1960s

BW Shen, RA Pielke Sr, X Zeng, X Zeng - Atmosphere, 2024 - mdpi.com
The 1960s was an exciting era for atmospheric predictability research: a finite predictability
of the atmosphere was uncovered using Lorenz's models and the well-acknowledged …

Opportunities and Barriers for Skillful Subseasonal Prediction of East Asian Summer Precipitation

F Liu, J Zhou, B Wang, JCH Leung… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract Accurate subseasonal (2–8 weeks) prediction of monsoon precipitation is crucial for
mitigating flood and heatwave disasters caused by intraseasonal variability (ISV). However …

The South Atlantic Dipole via multichannel singular spectrum analysis

G Manta, E Bach, S Talento, M Barreiro, S Speich… - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
This study analyzes coupled atmosphere–ocean variability in the South Atlantic Ocean. To
do so, we characterize the spatio-temporal variability of annual mean sea-surface …

Skillful prediction of Indian monsoon intraseasonal precipitation using Central Indian Ocean mode and machine learning

L Zhou, Y Yu, B Yan, X Zhao, J Qin… - Geophysical …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Monsoonal precipitation is dominated by intraseasonal variabilities, whose skillful prediction
lead time is currently less than 5 days and remains a grand challenge. Here we show that an …

Verification of seasonal prediction by the upgraded China multi-model ensemble prediction system (CMMEv2. 0)

J Wu, HL Ren, J Wan, J Liu, J Zuo, C Liu, Y Liu… - Journal of …, 2024 - Springer
Based on a combination of six Chinese climate models and three international operational
models, the China multi-model ensemble (CMME) prediction system has been upgraded …