A review on statistical postprocessing methods for hydrometeorological ensemble forecasting

W Li, Q Duan, C Miao, A Ye, W Gong… - Wiley Interdisciplinary …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Computer simulation models have been widely used to generate hydrometeorological
forecasts. As the raw forecasts contain uncertainties arising from various sources, including …

[HTML][HTML] 我国无缝隙精细化网格天气预报技术进展与挑战

金荣花, 代刊, 赵瑞霞, 曹勇, 薛峰, 刘凑华, 赵声蓉… - 气象, 2019 - qxqk.nmc.cn
本文总结了2014 年以来我国无缝隙精细化网格天气预报业务的技术进展,
讨论了未来发展所面临的关键技术难点. 无缝隙精细化网格预报技术的发展 …

Using artificial neural networks for generating probabilistic subseasonal precipitation forecasts over California

M Scheuerer, MB Switanek… - Monthly Weather …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Forecast skill of numerical weather prediction (NWP) models for precipitation accumulations
over California is rather limited at subseasonal time scales, and the low signal-to-noise ratio …

A novel hybrid artificial neural network-parametric scheme for postprocessing medium-range precipitation forecasts

M Ghazvinian, Y Zhang, DJ Seo, M He… - Advances in Water …, 2021 - Elsevier
Many present-day statistical schemes for postprocessing weather forecasts, in particular
precipitation forecasts, rely on calibration using prescribed statistical models to relate …

Distributional regression forests for probabilistic precipitation forecasting in complex terrain

L Schlosser, T Hothorn, R Stauffer, A Zeileis - 2019 - projecteuclid.org
Supplement A: Different response distributions. To assess the goodness of fit of the
Gaussian distribution, left-censored at zero, this supplement employs the same evaluations …

Reliability of ensemble climatological forecasts

Z Huang, T Zhao, Y Tian, X Chen… - Water Resources …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Ensemble climatological forecasts play a critical part in benchmarking the predictive
performance of hydroclimatic forecasts. Accounting for the skewness and censoring …

Nonhomogeneous boosting for predictor selection in ensemble postprocessing

JW Messner, GJ Mayr, A Zeileis - Monthly Weather Review, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
Nonhomogeneous regression is often used to statistically postprocess ensemble forecasts.
Usually only ensemble forecasts of the predictand variable are used as input, but other …

A smart post-processing system for forecasting the climate precipitation based on machine learning computations

A Ghazikhani, I Babaeian, M Gheibi… - Sustainability, 2022 - mdpi.com
Although many meteorological prediction models have been developed recently, their
accuracy is still unreliable. Post-processing is a task for improving meteorological …

[HTML][HTML] Spatio‐temporal precipitation climatology over complex terrain using a censored additive regression model

R Stauffer, GJ Mayr, JW Messner… - International Journal of …, 2017 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Flexible spatio‐temporal models are widely used to create reliable and accurate estimates
for precipitation climatologies. Most models are based on square root transformed monthly …

A five-parameter Gamma-Gaussian model to calibrate monthly and seasonal GCM precipitation forecasts

Z Huang, T Zhao, Y Zhang, H Cai, A Hou, X Chen - Journal of Hydrology, 2021 - Elsevier
Calibration is necessary for improving raw forecasts generated by global climate models
(GCMs) to fully utilize potential benefits of the forecasts in practical applications. Based on …