Climate policy uncertainty and world renewable energy index volatility forecasting
Since the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2015, the global energy structure has
undergone unprecedented adjustment, and renewable energy has ushered in a new period …
undergone unprecedented adjustment, and renewable energy has ushered in a new period …
Does global economic uncertainty matter for the volatility and hedging effectiveness of Bitcoin?
We assess whether the long-run volatilities of Bitcoin, global equities, commodities, and
bonds are affected by global economic policy uncertainty. Empirical results provide …
bonds are affected by global economic policy uncertainty. Empirical results provide …
Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight
J Liu, F Ma, Y Tang, Y Zhang - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Motivated by the importance of geopolitical risk and its possible predictive power for oil
volatility, this paper aims to quantitatively investigate the role of geopolitical risk (GPR) …
volatility, this paper aims to quantitatively investigate the role of geopolitical risk (GPR) …
Is gold a long-run hedge, diversifier, or safe haven for oil? Empirical evidence based on DCC-MIDAS
We aim at facilitating risk management in the oil market by identifying the long-run gold-oil
dynamic correlation using the DCC-MIDAS approach. We regard economic uncertainty and …
dynamic correlation using the DCC-MIDAS approach. We regard economic uncertainty and …
Which determinant is the most informative in forecasting crude oil market volatility: Fundamental, speculation, or uncertainty?
Y Wei, J Liu, X Lai, Y Hu - Energy Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper aims to identify the most informative determinant in forecasting crude oil market
volatility. We use a new GARCH-class model based on mixed data sampling regression and …
volatility. We use a new GARCH-class model based on mixed data sampling regression and …
Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH–MIDAS approach
In this study, we examine the connection between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market
volatility in emerging economies. Our motivation for this study is premised on the need to …
volatility in emerging economies. Our motivation for this study is premised on the need to …
[HTML][HTML] Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty
IA Adediran, R Swaray - Economic Modelling, 2023 - Elsevier
Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and geopolitical uncertainty (GPU) can fuel speculation,
flood the carbon trading market with excess allowances, and undermine the scheme's …
flood the carbon trading market with excess allowances, and undermine the scheme's …
Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model
L Wang, F Ma, J Liu, L Yang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper introduces a combination of asymmetry and extreme volatility effects in order to
build superior extensions of the GARCH-MIDAS model for modeling and forecasting the …
build superior extensions of the GARCH-MIDAS model for modeling and forecasting the …
[HTML][HTML] The oil price-inflation nexus: The exchange rate pass-through effect
Crude oil prices have been considered one of the key drivers of inflation worldwide,
reaching a peak in 2022. Inflation targeting plays a pivotal role in such a high inflation …
reaching a peak in 2022. Inflation targeting plays a pivotal role in such a high inflation …
Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model
C Liang, Z Xia, X Lai, L Wang - Energy Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
This study aims to analyzes the predictability of the natural gas volatility by considering
extreme weather information. Based on extended GARCH-MIDAS models, empirical results …
extreme weather information. Based on extended GARCH-MIDAS models, empirical results …