Climate policy uncertainty and world renewable energy index volatility forecasting

C Liang, M Umar, F Ma, TLD Huynh - Technological Forecasting and Social …, 2022 - Elsevier
Since the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2015, the global energy structure has
undergone unprecedented adjustment, and renewable energy has ushered in a new period …

Does global economic uncertainty matter for the volatility and hedging effectiveness of Bitcoin?

L Fang, E Bouri, R Gupta, D Roubaud - International Review of Financial …, 2019 - Elsevier
We assess whether the long-run volatilities of Bitcoin, global equities, commodities, and
bonds are affected by global economic policy uncertainty. Empirical results provide …

Geopolitical risk and oil volatility: A new insight

J Liu, F Ma, Y Tang, Y Zhang - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Motivated by the importance of geopolitical risk and its possible predictive power for oil
volatility, this paper aims to quantitatively investigate the role of geopolitical risk (GPR) …

Is gold a long-run hedge, diversifier, or safe haven for oil? Empirical evidence based on DCC-MIDAS

M Liu, CC Lee - Resources Policy, 2022 - Elsevier
We aim at facilitating risk management in the oil market by identifying the long-run gold-oil
dynamic correlation using the DCC-MIDAS approach. We regard economic uncertainty and …

Which determinant is the most informative in forecasting crude oil market volatility: Fundamental, speculation, or uncertainty?

Y Wei, J Liu, X Lai, Y Hu - Energy Economics, 2017 - Elsevier
This paper aims to identify the most informative determinant in forecasting crude oil market
volatility. We use a new GARCH-class model based on mixed data sampling regression and …

Geopolitical risk and stock market volatility in emerging markets: A GARCH–MIDAS approach

AA Salisu, AE Ogbonna, L Lasisi, A Olaniran - The North American Journal …, 2022 - Elsevier
In this study, we examine the connection between geopolitical risk (GPR) and stock market
volatility in emerging economies. Our motivation for this study is premised on the need to …

[HTML][HTML] Carbon trading amidst global uncertainty: The role of policy and geopolitical uncertainty

IA Adediran, R Swaray - Economic Modelling, 2023 - Elsevier
Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and geopolitical uncertainty (GPU) can fuel speculation,
flood the carbon trading market with excess allowances, and undermine the scheme's …

Forecasting stock price volatility: New evidence from the GARCH-MIDAS model

L Wang, F Ma, J Liu, L Yang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper introduces a combination of asymmetry and extreme volatility effects in order to
build superior extensions of the GARCH-MIDAS model for modeling and forecasting the …

[HTML][HTML] The oil price-inflation nexus: The exchange rate pass-through effect

S Ding, D Zheng, T Cui, M Du - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Crude oil prices have been considered one of the key drivers of inflation worldwide,
reaching a peak in 2022. Inflation targeting plays a pivotal role in such a high inflation …

Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model

C Liang, Z Xia, X Lai, L Wang - Energy Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
This study aims to analyzes the predictability of the natural gas volatility by considering
extreme weather information. Based on extended GARCH-MIDAS models, empirical results …