[HTML][HTML] Market selection and learning under model misspecification

G Bottazzi, D Giachini, M Ottaviani - Journal of Economic Dynamics and …, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper studies market selection in an Arrow-Debreu economy with complete markets
where agents learn over misspecified models. In this setting, standard Bayesian learning …

Far from the madding crowd: Collective wisdom in prediction markets

G Bottazzi, D Giachini - Quantitative Finance, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
We investigate market selection and bet pricing in a repeated prediction market model. We
derive the conditions for long-run survival of more than one agent (the crowd) and quantify …

Survival in speculative markets

P Dindo - Journal of Economic Theory, 2019 - Elsevier
In this paper, I consider an exchange economy with complete markets where agents have
heterogeneous beliefs and, possibly, preferences, and investigate the Market Selection …

Swarm intelligence? Stock opinions of the crowd and stock returns

B Breitmayer, F Massari, M Pelster - International Review of Economics & …, 2019 - Elsevier
We find that crowds' analyses of stocks, disclosed on a social investment platform, provide
explanatory power for stock returns. Exploiting a novel dataset that contains more than 14.9 …

Predicting user behavior on s-commerce platforms: a novel model

KS Al-Omoush, A Shuhaiber - Kybernetes, 2024 - emerald.com
Purpose This study investigates the influence of the wisdom of the crowd (WSC), trust and
perceived value on consumer purchase intentions within social commerce (s-commerce) …

[PDF][PDF] Participatory Budgeting as the Instrument of Technologically Supported Dialogue in Cracow, Poland

UK Zawadzka-Pąk - TalTech Journal of European Studies, 2022 - sciendo.com
Ordinary citizens today support the local decisionmaking authorities in the domain of public
spending using the instrument of participatory budgeting. The situation is of particular …

The dynamics of leverage and the belief distribution of wealth

B Datta, R Sethi - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2023 - Elsevier
The scale and terms of borrowing in an economy depend on the manner in which wealth is
distributed across potential creditors with heterogeneous beliefs about the future. This …

Under-reaction: Irrational behavior or robust response to model misspecification?

F Massari - Available at SSRN 3636136, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Under-reaction is a robust response to model misspecification rewarded by financial
markets, rather than an “irrational” attitude that leads to extinction. I show that under-reacting …

Momentum and reversal in financial markets with persistent heterogeneity

G Bottazzi, P Dindo, D Giachini - Annals of Finance, 2019 - Springer
This paper investigates whether short-term momentum and long-term reversal may emerge
from the wealth reallocation process taking place in speculative markets. We assume that …

Rationality and asset prices under belief heterogeneity

D Giachini - Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 2021 - Springer
In this paper I study the relationship between rationality and asset prices when agents have
heterogeneous and incorrect beliefs about future events. Using as a benchmark the pricing …