Ambiguity and ambiguity aversion
MJ Machina, M Siniscalchi - Handbook of the Economics of Risk and …, 2014 - Elsevier
The phenomena of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion, introduced in Daniel Ellsberg's
seminal 1961 article, are ubiquitous in the real world and violate both the key rationality …
seminal 1961 article, are ubiquitous in the real world and violate both the key rationality …
Uncertainty averse preferences
We study uncertainty averse preferences, that is, complete and transitive preferences that
are convex and monotone. We establish a representation result, which is at the same time …
are convex and monotone. We establish a representation result, which is at the same time …
Cautious expected utility and the certainty effect
Many violations of the independence axiom of expected utility can be traced to subjects'
attraction to risk‐free prospects. The key axiom in this paper, negative certainty …
attraction to risk‐free prospects. The key axiom in this paper, negative certainty …
Dual‐Self Representations of Ambiguity Preferences
We propose a class of multiple‐prior representations of preferences under ambiguity, where
the belief the decision‐maker (DM) uses to evaluate an uncertain prospect is the outcome of …
the belief the decision‐maker (DM) uses to evaluate an uncertain prospect is the outcome of …
Making decisions under model misspecification
We use decision theory to confront uncertainty that is sufficiently broad to incorporate"
models as approximations." We presume the existence of a featured collection of what we …
models as approximations." We presume the existence of a featured collection of what we …
On multiple discount rates
CP Chambers, F Echenique - Econometrica, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
We study the problem of resolving conflicting discount rates via a social choice approach.
We introduce several axioms, seeking to capture the tension between allowing for …
We introduce several axioms, seeking to capture the tension between allowing for …
Ambiguity and robust statistics
S Cerreia-Vioglio, F Maccheroni, M Marinacci… - Journal of Economic …, 2013 - Elsevier
Starting with the seminal paper of Gilboa and Schmeidler (1989)[32] an analogy between
the maxmin approach of decision theory under ambiguity and the minimax approach of …
the maxmin approach of decision theory under ambiguity and the minimax approach of …
Robust social decisions
We propose and operationalize normative principles to guide social decisions when
individuals potentially have imprecise and heterogeneous beliefs, in addition to conflicting …
individuals potentially have imprecise and heterogeneous beliefs, in addition to conflicting …
Social and strategic ambiguity versus betrayal aversion
C Li, U Turmunkh, PP Wakker - Games and Economic Behavior, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper examines the difference between strategic ambiguity as in game theory and
ambiguity arising in individual decisions. We identify a new, non-strategic component …
ambiguity arising in individual decisions. We identify a new, non-strategic component …
Are policymakers ambiguity averse?
We investigate the ambiguity preferences of a unique sample of real-life policymakers at the
Paris UN climate conference (COP21). We find that policymakers are generally ambiguity …
Paris UN climate conference (COP21). We find that policymakers are generally ambiguity …