Ambiguity and ambiguity aversion

MJ Machina, M Siniscalchi - Handbook of the Economics of Risk and …, 2014 - Elsevier
The phenomena of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion, introduced in Daniel Ellsberg's
seminal 1961 article, are ubiquitous in the real world and violate both the key rationality …

Uncertainty averse preferences

S Cerreia-Vioglio, F Maccheroni, M Marinacci… - Journal of Economic …, 2011 - Elsevier
We study uncertainty averse preferences, that is, complete and transitive preferences that
are convex and monotone. We establish a representation result, which is at the same time …

Cautious expected utility and the certainty effect

S Cerreia‐Vioglio, D Dillenberger, P Ortoleva - Econometrica, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Many violations of the independence axiom of expected utility can be traced to subjects'
attraction to risk‐free prospects. The key axiom in this paper, negative certainty …

Dual‐Self Representations of Ambiguity Preferences

M Chandrasekher, M Frick, R Iijima… - Econometrica, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a class of multiple‐prior representations of preferences under ambiguity, where
the belief the decision‐maker (DM) uses to evaluate an uncertain prospect is the outcome of …

Making decisions under model misspecification

S Cerreia-Vioglio, LP Hansen, F Maccheroni… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2020 - arxiv.org
We use decision theory to confront uncertainty that is sufficiently broad to incorporate"
models as approximations." We presume the existence of a featured collection of what we …

On multiple discount rates

CP Chambers, F Echenique - Econometrica, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
We study the problem of resolving conflicting discount rates via a social choice approach.
We introduce several axioms, seeking to capture the tension between allowing for …

Ambiguity and robust statistics

S Cerreia-Vioglio, F Maccheroni, M Marinacci… - Journal of Economic …, 2013 - Elsevier
Starting with the seminal paper of Gilboa and Schmeidler (1989)[32] an analogy between
the maxmin approach of decision theory under ambiguity and the minimax approach of …

Robust social decisions

E Danan, T Gajdos, B Hill, JM Tallon - American Economic Review, 2016 - aeaweb.org
We propose and operationalize normative principles to guide social decisions when
individuals potentially have imprecise and heterogeneous beliefs, in addition to conflicting …

Social and strategic ambiguity versus betrayal aversion

C Li, U Turmunkh, PP Wakker - Games and Economic Behavior, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper examines the difference between strategic ambiguity as in game theory and
ambiguity arising in individual decisions. We identify a new, non-strategic component …

Are policymakers ambiguity averse?

L Berger, V Bosetti - The Economic Journal, 2020 - academic.oup.com
We investigate the ambiguity preferences of a unique sample of real-life policymakers at the
Paris UN climate conference (COP21). We find that policymakers are generally ambiguity …