The influence of future weather pattern changes and projected sea-level rise on coastal flood impacts around the UK

RJ Perks, D Bernie, J Lowe, R Neal - Climatic Change, 2023 - Springer
When local extreme water levels surpass defences, the consequences can be devastating.
We assess the importance of sea-level rise and future weather pattern changes on UK …

The application of predefined weather patterns over India within probabilistic medium‐range forecasting tools for high‐impact weather

R Neal, G Guentchev, T Arulalan… - Meteorological …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
A method is presented for deriving probabilistic medium‐range (1‐to‐2‐week) weather
pattern forecasts for India. This method uses an existing set of 30 objectively derived daily …

Generating weather pattern definitions over South Africa suitable for future use in impact‐orientated medium‐range forecasting

LG Ireland, J Robbins, R Neal… - International Journal …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This work aims to define a set of representative weather patterns for South Africa that can be
utilized to support impact‐based forecasting of heatwave events. Sets of weather patterns …

Synoptic conditions conducive for compound wind-flood events in Great Britain in present and future climates

HC Bloomfield, P Bates, LC Shaffrey… - Environmental …, 2024 - iopscience.iop.org
Extreme wind is the main driver of loss in North-West Europe, with flooding being the second-
highest driver. These hazards are currently modelled independently, and it is unclear what …

Identification of weather patterns and transitions likely to cause power outages in the United Kingdom

L Souto, R Neal, JO Pope, PLM Gonzalez… - … Earth & Environment, 2024 - nature.com
Lightning strikes, snow, and wind are common causes of power system failures. Their
frequency of occurrence varies depending on weather patterns and seasons. Here, we …

Future extension of the UK summer and its impact on autumn precipitation

DF Cotterill, JO Pope, PA Stott - Climate Dynamics, 2023 - Springer
Research into weather circulation changes over the UK for future climate has mainly focused
on changes in the Summer and Winter seasons, with less analysis on seasonality and the …

A seamless blended multi‐model ensemble approach to probabilistic medium‐range weather pattern forecasts over the UK

R Neal, J Robbins, R Crocker, D Cox… - Meteorological …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
This paper describes a new seamless blended multi‐model ensemble configuration of an
existing probabilistic medium‐to extended‐range weather pattern forecasting tool (called …

Evaluating Medium-Range Forecast Performance of Regional-Scale Circulation Patterns

OA Obarein, CC Lee, ET Smith… - Weather and …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Accurate subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) weather forecasts are crucial to making important
decisions in many sectors. However, significant gaps exist between the needs of society and …

[HTML][HTML] Musical messages–Creating a bespoke climate story for the Outer Hebrides

JO Pope, M Logan, S Kennedy, K MacDonald… - Climate Services, 2023 - Elsevier
Exposed to westerly and south-westerly Atlantic weather systems, the Outer Hebrides (off
the west coast of Scotland) are a series of islands where the inhabitants are already well …

Information Extraction from Pilot Weather Reports (PIREPs) using a Structured Two-Level Named Entity Recognition (NER) Approach

S Gupta - 2024 - hammer.purdue.edu
Weather conditions such as thunderstorms, wind shear, snowstorms, turbulence, icing, and
fog can create potentially hazardous flying conditions in the National Airspace System …