The stochastic seasonal behavior of freight rate dynamics

J Poblacion - Maritime Economics & Logistics, 2015 - Springer
Previous studies on freight rate dynamics have explored the behavior of freight rates and
their characteristics, including unit root, among other factors. However, there are few articles …

What drives commodity price variation?

M Han, L Dam, W Pohl - Review of Finance, 2024 - academic.oup.com
We investigate the importance of time-varying discount rates for commodity prices using an
index based on twenty-three commodities for the period 1959–2024. We show that in …

Does climate change affect economic data?

I Choi - Empirical Economics, 2023 - Springer
This paper derives the seasonal factors from the US temperature, gasoline price, and fresh
food price data sets using the Kalman state smoother and the principal component analysis …

Explaining the convenience yield in the WTI crude oil market using realized volatility and jumps

B Sévi - Economic Modelling, 2015 - Elsevier
In this paper, we first provide an empirical evidence of the existence of intraday jumps in the
crude oil price series. We then show that these jumps, in conjunction with realized volatility …

An analysis of the fish pool market in the context of seasonality and stochastic convenience yield

CO Ewald, R Ouyang - Marine Resource Economics, 2017 - journals.uchicago.edu
On the basis of a popular two-factor approach applied in commodity markets, we develop a
model featuring seasonality and study futures contracts written on fresh farmed salmon …

Convenience yield in commodity price modeling: A regime switching approach

A Almansour - Energy Economics, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper attempts to model the futures term structures of crude oil and natural gas using
the notion of convenience yield in a regime switching framework. Unlike the existing studies …

The determinants of convenience yields

M Prokopczuk, Y Wu - Available at SSRN 2372838, 2013 - papers.ssrn.com
In this study, we investigate the determinants of convenience yields across a broad range of
commodities. We find that the convenience yields of commodities are exposed to both …

[HTML][HTML] Trading time seasonality in commodity futures: An opportunity for arbitrage in the natural gas and crude oil markets?

CO Ewald, E Haugom, G Lien, S Størdal, Y Wu - Energy Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
In this paper we investigate energy futures contracts and the presence of a type of
seasonality, that has been given very little to no attention in the literature—-we call it trading …

Valuation of commodity derivatives with an unobservable convenience yield

AN Lai, C Mellios - Computers & Operations Research, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper extends the existing literature on commodity derivatives to account for an
unobservable stochastic convenience yield. Investors operate in an economy with …

Time dynamics of connectedness between commodity convenience yields and zero-coupon inflation swap rates

O Aybar, MH Bilgin, SS Öztürk - Investment Analysts Journal, 2020 - journals.co.za
Globalisation and financial liberalisation have made financial markets more correlated and
connected. In this context, it has become extremely important to understand the …