The complex dynamics of earthquake fault systems: New approaches to forecasting and nowcasting of earthquakes
Charles Richter's observation that'only fools and charlatans predict earthquakes,'reflects the
fact that despite more than 100 years of effort, seismologists remain unable to do so with …
fact that despite more than 100 years of effort, seismologists remain unable to do so with …
Nowcasting earthquakes by visualizing the earthquake cycle with machine learning: A comparison of two methods
The earthquake cycle of stress accumulation and release is associated with the elastic
rebound hypothesis proposed by HF Reid following the M7. 9 San Francisco earthquake of …
rebound hypothesis proposed by HF Reid following the M7. 9 San Francisco earthquake of …
[图书][B] Natural time analysis: the new view of time: precursory seismic electric signals, earthquakes and other complex time series
This book deals with the theory and the applications of a new time domain, termed natural
time domain, that has been forwarded by the authors almost a decade ago (PA Varotsos, NV …
time domain, that has been forwarded by the authors almost a decade ago (PA Varotsos, NV …
Long-range correlations in the electric signals that precede rupture
Abstract The Smoluchowski-Chapman-Kolmogorov functional equation is applied to the
electric signals that precede rupture. The results suggest a non-Markovian character of the …
electric signals that precede rupture. The results suggest a non-Markovian character of the …
Similarity of fluctuations in correlated systems: The case of seismicity
We report a similarity of fluctuations in equilibrium critical phenomena and nonequilibrium
systems, which is based on the concept of natural time. The worldwide seismicity as well as …
systems, which is based on the concept of natural time. The worldwide seismicity as well as …
Long-range correlations in the electric signals that precede rupture: Further investigations
The correlations within the time series of the seismic electric signal (SES) activities have
been studied in a previous paper [P. Varotsos, N. Sarlis, and E. Skordas, Phys. Rev. E 66 …
been studied in a previous paper [P. Varotsos, N. Sarlis, and E. Skordas, Phys. Rev. E 66 …
Attempt to distinguish electric signals of a dichotomous nature
Three types of electric signals were analyzed: Ion current fluctuations in membrane
channels (ICFMC), Seismic electric signals activities (SES), and “artificial” noises (AN). The …
channels (ICFMC), Seismic electric signals activities (SES), and “artificial” noises (AN). The …
Natural time analysis of critical phenomena
A quantity exists by which one can identify the approach of a dynamical system to the state
of criticality, which is hard to identify otherwise. This quantity is the variance of natural time χ …
of criticality, which is hard to identify otherwise. This quantity is the variance of natural time χ …
Seismic Electric Signals: An additional fact showing their physical interconnection with seismicity
Natural time analysis reveals novel dynamical features hidden behind time series in
complex systems. By applying it to the time series of earthquakes, we find that the order …
complex systems. By applying it to the time series of earthquakes, we find that the order …
Study of the temporal correlations in the magnitude time series before major earthquakes in Japan
PA Varotsos, NV Sarlis… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
A characteristic change of seismicity has been recently uncovered when the precursory
Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the …
Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the …