Flood forecasting by means of dynamical downscaling of global NWPs coupling with a hydrologic model at Nong Son-Thanh My River basins
Almost every year, Vietnam suffers floods resulting in the loss of many lives and
considerable costs for damaged and lost properties. This study proposes a forecasting …
considerable costs for damaged and lost properties. This study proposes a forecasting …
[HTML][HTML] 基于再分析尺度化因子的集合预报初值扰动对台风烟花(2106) 预报的影响
岳健， 董林， 陈静， 王婧卓， 李红祺 - 气象, 2023 - qxqk.nmc.cn
为考察基于再分析尺度化因子的集合变换卡尔曼滤波(ETKF_R) 初值扰动方案对台风预报的
影响, 利用中国气象局区域集合预报系统(CMA-REPS) 开展了2021 年7 月18—29 …
影响, 利用中国气象局区域集合预报系统(CMA-REPS) 开展了2021 年7 月18—29 …
[HTML][HTML] Impacts of assimilating high-resolution atmospheric motion vectors derived from Himawari-8 on tropical cyclone forecast in HWRF
M Sawada, Z Ma, A Mehra… - Monthly Weather …, 2019 - journals.ametsoc.org
Aberson, SD, and JL Franklin, 1999: Impact on hurricane track and intensity forecasts of
GPS dropwindsonde observations from the first-season flights of the NOAA Gulfstream-IV Jet …
GPS dropwindsonde observations from the first-season flights of the NOAA Gulfstream-IV Jet …
A new approach to represent model uncertainty in the forecasting of tropical cyclones: The orthogonal nonlinear forcing singular vectors
Y Zhang, W Duan, S Vannitsem… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Tropical cyclone (TC) track forecasting has been considerably improved in recent decades,
while TC intensity forecasting remain challenging. In this study, orthogonal nonlinear forcing …
while TC intensity forecasting remain challenging. In this study, orthogonal nonlinear forcing …
Ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone track with orthogonal conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations
Z Huo, W Duan, F Zhou - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2019 - Springer
This paper preliminarily investigates the application of the orthogonal conditional nonlinear
optimal perturbations (CNOPs)–based ensemble forecast technique in MM5 (Fifth …
optimal perturbations (CNOPs)–based ensemble forecast technique in MM5 (Fifth …
Impact of initial intensity error on simulated tropical cyclone track over the western North Pacific
In numerical modeling, uncertainties in the initial intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs) can lead
to track errors. In this study, we analyzed the impact of initial intensity error on the simulated …
to track errors. In this study, we analyzed the impact of initial intensity error on the simulated …
Role of the vertical structure of a simulated tropical cyclone in its motion: A case study of Typhoon Fengshen (2008)
Typhoon Fengshen (2008) was marked by a persistent track toward the northwest, which
was poorly predicted by an operational hydrostatic model, which indicated a significant …
was poorly predicted by an operational hydrostatic model, which indicated a significant …
A study of rapid intensification of tropical cyclone Ockhi using C-band polarimetric radar
Tropical cyclone Ockhi (2017) had a very unusual track with unprecedented rapid
intensification (RI) and dynamical evolution. During its early phases, a C-band polarimetric …
intensification (RI) and dynamical evolution. During its early phases, a C-band polarimetric …
[HTML][HTML] Typhoon-position-oriented sensitivity analysis. Part I: Theory and verification
Typhoon-Position-Oriented Sensitivity Analysis. Part I: Theory and Verification in: Journal of the
Atmospheric Sciences Volume 70 Issue 8 (2013) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …
Atmospheric Sciences Volume 70 Issue 8 (2013) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …
Evaluation of different versions of NCUM global model for simulation of track and intensity of tropical cyclones over Bay of Bengal
The global UK Met office Unified Model (UM) is currently operational at National Centre for
Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF), the global model named as NCUM. An …
Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF), the global model named as NCUM. An …