Have risk premia vanished?
SC Smith, A Timmermann - Journal of Financial Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
We apply a new methodology for identifying pervasive and discrete changes (“breaks”) in
cross-sectional risk premia. Size, value, and investment risk premia have fallen off to the …
cross-sectional risk premia. Size, value, and investment risk premia have fallen off to the …
The oligopoly Lucas tree
This paper proposes a novel quantitative framework with endogenous strategic competition
in heterogeneous concentrated industries. Oligopolies compete strategically for profit …
in heterogeneous concentrated industries. Oligopolies compete strategically for profit …
[HTML][HTML] Measuring preferences over the temporal resolution of consumption uncertainty
T Meissner, P Pfeiffer - Journal of Economic Theory, 2022 - Elsevier
Timing premia measure how much consumption people are willing to forgo to resolve all
consumption uncertainty immediately. We develop a novel experiment to elicit these …
consumption uncertainty immediately. We develop a novel experiment to elicit these …
Estimating the value of information
We derive a general expression for the value of information to a price-taking investor in a
dynamic environment and provide a framework for its estimation. We study the value of both …
dynamic environment and provide a framework for its estimation. We study the value of both …
Return predictability between industries and the stock market in China
We examined the lead–lag relationship between industry portfolio returns and market
returns in China, the largest emerging market, for the period 1993–2019. Using a …
returns in China, the largest emerging market, for the period 1993–2019. Using a …
Optimal cross-sectional regression
Errors-in-variables (EIV) biases plague asset pricing tests. We offer a new perspective on
addressing the EIV issue: instead of viewing EIV biases as estimation errors that potentially …
addressing the EIV issue: instead of viewing EIV biases as estimation errors that potentially …
Does history repeat itself? Business cycle and industry returns
Industries with higher historical business cycle regime Sharpe ratios (RSR) have higher
regime-dependent expected returns. Conditional on whether output gap is positive or …
regime-dependent expected returns. Conditional on whether output gap is positive or …
Liquidity and the strategic value of information
Abstract In Kyle (1985), the ratio of fundamental variance to price impact measures the value
of information to a monopolist strategic informed investor. We show this same statistic …
of information to a monopolist strategic informed investor. We show this same statistic …