Lucky factors

CR Harvey, Y Liu - Journal of Financial Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Identifying the factors that drive the cross-section of expected returns is challenging for at
least three reasons. First, the choice of testing approach (time series versus cross-sectional) …

Have risk premia vanished?

SC Smith, A Timmermann - Journal of Financial Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
We apply a new methodology for identifying pervasive and discrete changes (“breaks”) in
cross-sectional risk premia. Size, value, and investment risk premia have fallen off to the …

The oligopoly Lucas tree

WW Dou, Y Ji, W Wu - The Review of Financial Studies, 2022 - academic.oup.com
This paper proposes a novel quantitative framework with endogenous strategic competition
in heterogeneous concentrated industries. Oligopolies compete strategically for profit …

[HTML][HTML] Measuring preferences over the temporal resolution of consumption uncertainty

T Meissner, P Pfeiffer - Journal of Economic Theory, 2022 - Elsevier
Timing premia measure how much consumption people are willing to forgo to resolve all
consumption uncertainty immediately. We develop a novel experiment to elicit these …

Estimating the value of information

O Kadan, A Manela - The Review of Financial Studies, 2019 - academic.oup.com
We derive a general expression for the value of information to a price-taking investor in a
dynamic environment and provide a framework for its estimation. We study the value of both …

Decomposing anomalies

S Boubaker, B Li, Z Liu, Y Zhang - Economics Letters, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper introduces the functional principal component analysis approach for
decomposing the panel returns of the anomaly-sorted portfolios. Using the US stock market …

Return predictability between industries and the stock market in China

Y Zhang, Y Tse, G Zhang - Pacific Economic Review, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We examined the lead–lag relationship between industry portfolio returns and market
returns in China, the largest emerging market, for the period 1993–2019. Using a …

Optimal cross-sectional regression

Z Liao, Y Liu, Z Xie - Management Science, 2024 - pubsonline.informs.org
Errors-in-variables (EIV) biases plague asset pricing tests. We offer a new perspective on
addressing the EIV issue: instead of viewing EIV biases as estimation errors that potentially …

Does history repeat itself? Business cycle and industry returns

S Chava, A Hsu, L Zeng - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
Industries with higher historical business cycle regime Sharpe ratios (RSR) have higher
regime-dependent expected returns. Conditional on whether output gap is positive or …

Liquidity and the strategic value of information

O Kadan, A Manela - Review of Finance, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Abstract In Kyle (1985), the ratio of fundamental variance to price impact measures the value
of information to a monopolist strategic informed investor. We show this same statistic …