Making and evaluating point forecasts

T Gneiting - Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2011 - Taylor & Francis
Typically, point forecasting methods are compared and assessed by means of an error
measure or scoring function, with the absolute error and the squared error being key …

Evaluation of spatio-temporal forecasting methods in various smart city applications

A Tascikaraoglu - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2018 - Elsevier
Together with the increasing population and urbanization, cities have started to face
challenges that hinder their socio-economic and sustainable development. The concept of …

Very-short-term probabilistic wind power forecasts by sparse vector autoregression

J Dowell, P Pinson - IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2015 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
A spatio-temporal method for producing very-short-term parametric probabilistic wind power
forecasts at a large number of locations is presented. Smart grids containing tens, or …

Improved deep mixture density network for regional wind power probabilistic forecasting

H Zhang, Y Liu, J Yan, S Han, L Li… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Unsteady motion of the atmosphere incurs nonlinear and spatiotemporally coupled
uncertainties in the wind power prediction (WPP) of multiple wind farms. This brings both …

Wind energy: Forecasting challenges for its operational management

P Pinson - 2013 - projecteuclid.org
Renewable energy sources, especially wind energy, are to play a larger role in providing
electricity to industrial and domestic consumers. This is already the case today for a number …

Wind power prediction using hybrid autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average and least square support vector machine

X Yuan, Q Tan, X Lei, Y Yuan, X Wu - Energy, 2017 - Elsevier
Precise prediction of wind power can not only conduct wind turbine's operation, but also
reduce the impact on power systems when wind energy is injected into the grid. A hybrid …

Deep forecast: Deep learning-based spatio-temporal forecasting

A Ghaderi, BM Sanandaji, F Ghaderi - arXiv preprint arXiv:1707.08110, 2017 - arxiv.org
The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep
Learning (DL) and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs). Motivated by recent …

Short-term spatio-temporal wind power forecast in robust look-ahead power system dispatch

L Xie, Y Gu, X Zhu, MG Genton - IEEE Transactions on Smart …, 2013 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
We propose a novel statistical wind power forecast framework, which leverages the spatio-
temporal correlation in wind speed and direction data among geographically dispersed wind …

[图书][B] Data science for wind energy

Y Ding - 2019 - taylorfrancis.com
Data Science for Wind Energy provides an in-depth discussion on how data science
methods can improve decision making for wind energy applications, near-ground wind field …

Exploiting sparsity of interconnections in spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting using Wavelet Transform

A Tascikaraoglu, BM Sanandaji, K Poolla, P Varaiya - Applied Energy, 2016 - Elsevier
Integration of renewable energy resources into the power grid is essential in achieving the
envisioned sustainable energy future. Stochasticity and intermittency characteristics of …