[HTML][HTML] Screening: From tornado diagrams to effective dimensions

E Borgonovo, G Rabitti - European Journal of Operational Research, 2023 - Elsevier
Popular sensitivity analysis techniques such as Tornado Diagrams or the Morris method are
based on one-at-a-time input variations (local main effects, henceforth). We evidence a link …

[HTML][HTML] Sensitivity measures based on scoring functions

T Fissler, SM Pesenti - European Journal of Operational Research, 2023 - Elsevier
We propose a holistic framework for constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable
functional T of a response variable. The sensitivity measures, termed score-based …

A theory of multivariate stress testing

P Millossovich, A Tsanakas, R Wang - European Journal of Operational …, 2024 - Elsevier
We present a theoretical framework for stressing multivariate stochastic models. We
consider a stress to be a change of measure, placing a higher weight on multivariate …

Reverse sensitivity analysis for risk modelling

SM Pesenti - Risks, 2022 - mdpi.com
We consider the problem where a modeller conducts sensitivity analysis of a model
consisting of random input factors, a corresponding random output of interest, and a …

Stressing dynamic loss models

E Kroell, SM Pesenti, S Jaimungal - Insurance: Mathematics and …, 2024 - Elsevier
Stress testing, and in particular, reverse stress testing, is a prominent exercise in risk
management practice. Reverse stress testing, in contrast to (forward) stress testing, aims to …

Risk sharing with Lambda value at risk under heterogeneous beliefs

P Liu, A Tsanakas, Y Wei - arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.03147, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this paper, we study the risk sharing problem among multiple agents using Lambda Value-
at-Risk as their preference functional, under heterogeneous beliefs, where beliefs are …

Cascade sensitivity measures

SM Pesenti, P Millossovich, A Tsanakas - Risk Analysis, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
In risk analysis, sensitivity measures quantify the extent to which the probability distribution
of a model output is affected by changes (stresses) in individual random input factors. For …

Scenario Weights for Importance Measurement (SWIM)–an R package for sensitivity analysis

SM Pesenti, A Bettini, P Millossovich… - Annals of Actuarial …, 2021 - cambridge.org
The Scenario Weights for Importance Measurement (SWIM) package implements a flexible
sensitivity analysis framework, based primarily on results and tools developed by Pesenti et …

Minimal Kullback–Leibler Divergence for Constrained Lévy–Itô Processes

S Jaimungal, SM Pesenti… - SIAM Journal on Control …, 2024 - SIAM
Given an-dimensional stochastic process driven by-Brownian motions and Poisson random
measures, we search for a probability measure, with minimal relative entropy to, such that …

Sensitivity analysis with χ2-divergences

VD Makam, P Millossovich, A Tsanakas - Insurance: Mathematics and …, 2021 - Elsevier
We introduce an approach to sensitivity analysis of quantitative risk models, for the purpose
of identifying the most influential inputs. The proposed approach relies on a change of …